Fed sees 'modest' recovery slowing in some regions
Published: Jul 29, 2010 00:19 Updated: Jul 29, 2010 00:19
WASHINGTON: The pace of economic activity has slowed or held steady in parts of the US, revealing a choppy path back to health.
A new survey released by the Federal Reserve Wednesday found the US economy growing this summer, even as risks mount.
Of the 12 regions tracked by the Fed, the survey said that growth held steady in Cleveland and Kansas City, but slowed in Atlanta and Chicago. Economic activity elsewhere was described as modest.
High unemployment, cautious consumers and businesses, an ailing housing market and an edgy Wall Street have kept the recovery from gaining strength.
Manufacturing expanded in most regions. However, half of them - New York, Cleveland, Kansas City, Chicago, Atlanta and Richmond - reported that activity had "slowed" or "leveled off." Steel production declined in both Chicago and Cleveland.
Retailers reported sales gains, although merchants in some places said shoppers focused on buying «necessities.» Sales of big-ticket goods were slower. In fact, reports across most regions found that auto sales had declined.
The housing market turned more sluggish after homebuyer tax credits expired in April. Commercial real estate businesses continued to "struggle" across all 12 regions, the survey said.
The findings will figure into deliberations when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues meet next on Aug. 10. The Fed has signaled that it will hold rates at record lows at that time and probably well into next year to help energize the recovery.
And Bernanke told Congress last week that the Fed is prepared to take new steps to stimulate economic growth if the recovery were to flash signs of sliding back into recession.
The Fed's region-by-region survey, traditionally known as the Beige Book, provides a unique snapshot of the nation.
The central bank's 12 regional arms have their people fan out to gather information from businesses and talk to local economists and experts on the markets. The result is a more intimate look at the overall economy than broad statistics provide.
The Fed survey is based on information collected from the Fed's 12 regional banks on or before July 19.
Meanwhile, new orders for long-lasting US manufactured goods unexpectedly fell for a second straight month in June, posting their largest decline since August, further evidence economic growth cooled in the second quarter.
The Commerce Department said on Wednesday durable goods orders fell 1.0 percent after a revised 0.8 percent drop in May.
Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast orders increasing 1.0 percent in June from May's previously reported 0.6 percent fall.
"The number was weaker than expected and it could add to the idea that the economy is slipping into a double dip recession," said Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist at Robert W. Baird & Co. in Nashville.
