Global LNG prices to remain capped beyond 2020: Moody’s

According to Moody’s report, new global supply will jump 44 percent by 2020 to 455 mtpa versus 2015 as LNG construction projects in Australia, the US and Russia, costing more than a quarter of a trillion dollars to build, come online. (Reuters)
Updated 27 February 2017
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Global LNG prices to remain capped beyond 2020: Moody’s

JEDDAH: Global prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) are expected to remain constrained beyond 2020 as a wave of fresh supply capacity comes online at a time when demand from the world’s largest importers is weakening, said a report issued by Moody’s Investors Service.
Imports into Japan, the world’s biggest market, which consumes over one-third of global LNG, will fall to 80 million tons per annum (mtpa) by 2020, a 9 percent reduction from its 2014 record, as nuclear power production slowly restarts. Demand from Korea, the world’s second-largest consumer, will be flat over this period.
“Strong LNG demand growth from China, India and new markets will not be enough to absorb the fresh supply capacity coming online, particularly with demand falling in the largest importing countries, Japan and Korea. The market will not rebalance until the early years of the next decade, when global demand and LNG import infrastructure catches up with supply,” said Tomas O’Loughlin, a vice president — senior credit officer at Moody’s.
According to Moody’s report, new global supply will jump 44 percent by 2020 to 455 mtpa versus 2015 as LNG construction projects in Australia, the US and Russia, costing more than a quarter of a trillion dollars to build, come online. These projects were boosted by a spike in demand from Japan following the 2011 tsunami and subsequent nuclear shutdown, as well as abundant US shale gas supplies, the report added.
“Until the market rebalances, investment returns for developers of Australian projects will be weak and US LNG offtakers will struggle to recover all of their liquefaction costs,” said O’Loughlin.
Global oversupply will continue to expand, peaking at around 55 mtpa in 2019. During this period, significant volumes of US LNG could be destined for Europe. Moody’s expects that global LNG demand growth will continue to be robust, boosted by low prices, environmental concerns and the build out of infrastructure in new markets allowing the import of greater LNG volumes. This demand growth, coupled with a pause in supply capacity development, will allow the market to rebalance in the early 2020s.


Greece beats its budget target for 3rd year, debt edges down

Updated 51 min 36 sec ago
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Greece beats its budget target for 3rd year, debt edges down

ATHENS, Greece: Greece has beaten its bailout budget targets for a third successive year and eased its massive debt burden by a fraction as the country prepares to exit its international rescue program in four months.
The country’s independent statistics agency on Monday reported long-awaited data for 2017 that will affect ongoing negotiations between Athens and creditors on the terms of Greece’s exit.
The agency reported that the 2017 primary budget surplus — the balance before debt repayment is included— stood at 4 percent, while the national debt stood at 178.6 percent of gross domestic product, down from 180.8 the previous year.
Economic output was 177.7 billion euros ($218 billion), confirming a return to growth, but still almost a billion euros lower that annual output in 2014.