Riyadh apartment prices soar as villas feel the heat

A residential compound in the south of Riyadh. Apartment prices rose sharply in the city last year while villa prices remain under pressure. (Reuters)
Updated 06 February 2018
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Riyadh apartment prices soar as villas feel the heat

DUBAI: Apartment prices in Riyadh leapt by up to 36 percent last year and are set to rise again this year, according to a survey of the Saudi Arabian residential property market by international real estate consultants Knight Frank.
“Demand for residential property is expected to be underpinned by a growing population, the lack of existing good quality stock and a long-term trend toward smaller average household size. These factors should inevitably fuel the demand for residential units in Riyadh,” the report said.
However, the positive outlook in the capital masks a softer market in Jeddah and Eastern Province, as well as declining prices for villa properties across the Kingdom, the report found. The price of villas in the capital fell by 5 percent last year. In Jeddah and Eastern Province, prices fell by 24 percent and 28 percent, respectively.
“A common trend witnessed in sales prices across key cities is that apartment prices have been less affected than villa prices as a result of a shift in demand from villas to apartments due to affordability constraints,” said Raya Majdalani, research manager at Knight Frank.
The Kingdom’s residential market took a big hit in 2016 when the impact of the fall in oil prices was at its most intense, but recovered to some extent last year as crude prices strengthened and government measures helped ease financial pressure on Saudi households.
“While we see current dynamics prevailing in the short term, we remain broadly positive as a result of government initiatives aimed at addressing key challenges restraining the residential sector,” Majdalani said.
Recent initiatives include the release of regulations for the introduction of a 2.5 percent tax on undeveloped land plots, approval of regulations for the use and listing of real estate investment trusts, the introduction of a new mortgage law to boost home ownership, the development of the Sakani home-building program by the Ministry of Housing, the launch of the Wafi online program to grant off-plan sales, and the creation of a real estate refinance company by the Public Investment Fund.
In Riyadh, the volume of residential transactions increased by 15 percent, but their value was down 3 percent on average. In Jeddah, volume was flat but value dropped 21 percent, while in Eastern Province volume fell slightly (2 percent down) and value slipped by 9 percent.
Apartments in the north of Riyadh, near the Northern Ring Road, were the most expensive, while Al-Aziziya and Al-Shifa were the lowest valued, Knight Frank said.


Brent oil rises back above $80 as Iran sanctions loom

Updated 22 October 2018
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Brent oil rises back above $80 as Iran sanctions loom

  • The US sanctions on the oil sector in Iran are set to start on November 4
  • other producers may struggle to fully make up for the expected Iran disruption, and that oil prices could rise further

SINGAPORE: Brent crude oil prices rose back above $80 a barrel on Monday as markets were expected to tighten once US sanctions against Iran’s crude exports are implemented next month.
Benchmark Brent crude oil futures were at $80.26 a barrel at 0646 GMT, up 48 cents, or 0.6 percent, above their last close.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $69.60 a barrel, up 48 cents, or 0.7 percent.
The US sanctions on the oil sector in Iran, the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), are set to start on November 4. The United States under President Donald Trump is trying to reduce Iranian oil exports to zero to force the country to renegotiate an agreement on its nuclear program.
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Reuters on Sunday that it would be harder for countries to get sanction waivers than it was during the previous Obama administration, when several countries, especially in Asia, received them.
OPEC agreed in June to boost supply to make up for the expected disruption to Iranian exports.
However, an internal document reviewed by Reuters suggested OPEC is struggling to add barrels as an increase in Saudi supply was offset by declines elsewhere.
Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), said on Monday that other producers may struggle to fully make up for the expected Iran disruption, and that oil prices could rise further.
Some relief may come from North America, where US drillers added four oil rigs in the week to Oct. 19, bringing the total count to 873, Baker Hughes energy services firm said on Friday, raising the rig count to the highest level since March 2015.
The US rig count is an early indicator of future output. With activity increasing after months of stagnation, US crude production is also expected to continue to rise.
Reflecting rising US crude exports, the Intercontinental Exchange said its new Permian West Texas Intermediate crude futures contract deliverable in Houston, Texas, will begin trading on Monday.
In addition to the potential for rising oil supply, the ongoing Sino-American trade dispute is expected to start dragging on demand.
“The full impact of the US-China trade war will hit markets in 2019 and could act as a considerable drag on oil demand next year, raising the possibility of the market returning to surplus,” said Emirates NBD bank in a note.
Shipping brokerage Eastport said “Chinese manufacturing is beginning to slow” and that “Trump’s proposal of slapping ... tariffs on additional ... Chinese goods from 1 January would be a further drag on trade.”
K.Y. Lin, spokesman for Taiwan’s Formosa Petrochemical Corp, a major fuel refiner, said “weaker demand in Europe and the US” was already affecting gasoline profit margins as excess fuel is being sent to Asia.