Shell bets on petrol stations as electric revolution looms

By 2025, Shell plans to grow its global network of roadside stations by nearly a quarter to 55,000, targeting 40 million daily customers. (Reuters)
Updated 21 March 2018
0

Shell bets on petrol stations as electric revolution looms

LONDON: Royal Dutch Shell is placing a big bet on petrol stations and convenience stores in China, India and Mexico as it looks to shore up profits during the electric car revolution.
By 2025, the oil and gas giant plans to grow its global network of roadside stations by nearly a quarter to 55,000, targeting 40 million daily customers, Shell said in a statement on Wednesday.
It will add another 5,000 convenience stores selling coffee and snacks, with growth focused on rapidly growing economies in emerging markets.
Shell, as well as rivals such as BP, sees retail as a way to secure demand for the fuels it refines, as consumption could peak as early as by the end of the next decade due to the growth in electric vehicles.
“We plan to be leading through the energy transition,” Shell head of downstream John Abbott said in an investor presentation on Wednesday.
Already one of the world’s biggest retailers with a well-known brand, Shell expects earnings from its marketing and commercial businesses to grow annually by 7 percent into 2025, when it will deliver $4 billion in earnings.
The company is also rolling out a number of experimental initiatives to introduce electric battery chargers and hydrogen chargers to its traditional petrol stations, hoping to capture some of the growth in the non-combustion engines.
The fuel marketing sector nevertheless faces a risk of overcrowding as many companies see growth potential there, warned Biraj Borkhataria, analyst at RBC Capital Markets.
“We are more skeptical on Shell’s plans in retail, as the market is fiercely competitive and the ongoing threat of EVs (electric vehicles) could put some of that earnings stream at risk.”
The Anglo-Dutch company said its downstream business, which includes refining, trading, marketing and chemicals, will generate $6-$7 billion organic free cash flow per year by 2020 based on a Brent crude oil price of $60 a barrel.
Free cash generation for the whole company is expected to reach $25-$30 billion over the same period. Shell delivered $15 billion in organic free cash flow in 2017.
By 2025, cashflow from downstream is expected to grow to $9-$12 billion.
Downstream proved its importance during the oil industry’s downturn since 2014, providing the bulk of Shell’s profits as the price of crude collapsed.
Shell has in recent years transformed its downstream business by selling some plants and upgrading others, helping the company ride out oil price fluctuations and shifts in demand.
The company is also bracing for a world of “lower for longer” oil prices due to rising oil supplies, particularly from the United States. Shell and others cut tens of thousands of jobs, lowered spending and brought in new technology to simplify field designs and operations
Shell also said it plans to invest $7 billion to $9 billion a year across the business and expects to deliver a return on average capital employed of more than 15 percent.


VW to stop doing business in Iran: Bloomberg

Updated 20 September 2018
0

VW to stop doing business in Iran: Bloomberg

  • VW will still be able to do some business in Iran under a humanitarian exception
  • VW has scrapped plans it announced in July last year to sell cars in Iran for the first time in 17 years

WASHINGTON: Volkswagen has bowed to American pressure stemming from the US rejection of the multi-party nuclear deal and will end almost all business in Iran, Bloomberg News reported Wednesday.
The accord was reached Tuesday after weeks of talks between the German auto giant and the administration of President Donald Trump, said Richard Grenell, the US Ambassador to Germany, according to Bloomberg.
VW will still be able to do some business in Iran under a humanitarian exception, Bloomberg added.
In May, Trump pulled the US out of the deal it reached with Iran and five other countries in 2015. That accord lifted sanctions against Tehran in exchange for restrictions on its nuclear program.
Now, the US is reimposing those sanctions.
Bloomberg said VW has scrapped plans it announced in July last year to sell cars in Iran for the first time in 17 years.