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Time to leave the hysteria out of COVID-19 decision-making

  • To say necessary but unpopular things is the lot of any good columnist. What I am about to say will be met by many with hysteria: At how unfeeling I am, how I don’t care about the victims of the COVID-19 pandemic, how I don’t take the virus seriously enough. But this is all sound and fury, sign...
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Getting 2022 right: Three political risk predictions for the coming year

  • As I wrote in my last book about the political risk industry, “To Dare More Boldly: The Audacious Story of Political Risk,” I have long held heretical views about my chosen profession. Despite their shiny exteriors, the recent predictive call record of many top firms has been nothing short of a...
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Omicron and the elite that cried wolf

  • Early in the COVID-19 crisis, I was asked for political risk advice on what to do by a major Western government. After going over the options, I ended my presentation by concluding that the government must, above all else, expertly communicate its program to its people. The example I used was t...
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How the Biden presidency became a wreck

  • There is a famous quote widely attributed to 18th-century French philosopher Voltaire that urges us to always look on the bright side: “Life is a shipwreck, but we must not forget to sing in the lifeboats.” However, with the Biden administration on Thursday passing its one-year mark in power, t...
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Will the pandemic remake American politics?

  • Conrad Black’s book, “Franklin Delano Roosevelt: Champion of Freedom,” authoritatively manages to revise our image of this most famous and important man. Attacked at the time as being a socialist or revolutionary intent on remaking American society along Bolshevik lines, Black instead sees Roo...
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