Oil Updates – prices rise on optimism over solid US fuel demand

Oil Updates – prices rise on optimism over solid US fuel demand
Brent crude futures gained 47 cents, or 0.65 percent, to $73.02 a barrel by 8:05 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 31 October 2024
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Oil Updates – prices rise on optimism over solid US fuel demand

Oil Updates – prices rise on optimism over solid US fuel demand

TOKYO/BEIJING: Oil prices rose on Thursday, extending the previous day’s rally, driven by optimism over US fuel demand following an unexpected drop in crude and gasoline inventories, while reports that OPEC+ may delay a planned output increase offered support.

Brent crude futures gained 47 cents, or 0.65 percent, to $73.02 a barrel by 8:05 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which are set to expire later in the day, climbed 43 cents, or 0.63 percent, to $69.04 per barrel.

Both contracts rose more than 2 percent on Wednesday, after falling more than 6 percent earlier in the week on the reduced risk of a wider Middle East conflict.

US gasoline stockpiles fell unexpectedly in the week ending Oct. 25 to a two-year low on strengthened demand, the Energy Information Administration said, while crude inventories also posted a surprise drawdown as imports slipped.

Nine analysts polled by Reuters had expected an increase in gasoline and crude inventories.

“The surprise decline in US gasoline stockpiles provided a buying opportunity as demand appeared stronger than anticipated,” said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities.

“Expectations of a potential delay in the OPEC+ production increase were also supportive ... If they do delay, WTI could recover to the $70 level,” he said.

Reuters reported OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, could delay a planned oil production increase in December by a month or more because of concern over soft oil demand and rising supply.

The group is scheduled to raise output by 180,000 barrels per day in December. It had already delayed the increase from October because of falling prices.

A decision to postpone the increase could come as early as next week, two OPEC+ sources told Reuters.

OPEC+ is scheduled to meet on Dec. 1 to decide its next policy steps.

Manufacturing activity in China, the world’s biggest oil importer, expanded in October for the first time in six months, suggesting that stimulus measures are having an effect.

Markets are awaiting the results of the US presidential election on Nov. 5 as well as further details of China’s economic stimulus. Reuters reported that China could approve the issuance of over 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) in debt over the next few years on the last day of its Nov. 4-8 parliamentary meeting.

In the Middle East, Lebanon’s prime minister expressed hope on Wednesday that a ceasefire deal with Israel would be announced within days as Israel’s public broadcaster published what it said was a draft agreement providing for an initial 60-day truce.

The push for a ceasefire for Lebanon is taking place alongside a similar diplomatic drive to end hostilities in Gaza.

But the market impact is likely to be muted.

“Most of the Middle East geopolitical risk was stripped out of the oil price after Israel’s response to Iran over the weekend,” IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Iran said that Israeli strikes on Saturday, in retaliation for Iran’s Oct. 1 attack on Israel, caused only limited damage.


Tripartite deal signed to strengthen Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector

Tripartite deal signed to strengthen Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector
Updated 01 December 2024
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Tripartite deal signed to strengthen Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector

Tripartite deal signed to strengthen Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is poised for significant growth following a new tripartite partnership designed to enhance housing finance and establish a secondary mortgage market.

Under the patronage of Minister of Municipal and Rural Affairs Majid Al-Hogail a memorandum of understanding was signed on Sunday by the Real Estate Development Fund, Saudi Real Estate Refinance Co., and Al-Ahli Bank. The agreement aims to support the Kingdom’s housing sector and accelerate the development of a secondary mortgage market.

The MoU, which involves the Public Investment Fund’s fully owned SRC and Al-Ahli Bank, marks an important step in fostering closer collaboration between financial institutions. As part of the agreement, Al-Ahli Bank will continue to create mortgage portfolios, which will be refinanced through the SRC, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

This partnership is expected to fast-track the creation of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), both domestically and internationally. By doing so, it will help realize the goals of the Kingdom's housing program, promoting the development of a sustainable and integrated real estate financing system. The initiative will also contribute to expanding housing options for Saudi citizens.

Recent data from the Saudi Central Bank shows that banks in Saudi Arabia disbursed SR60.92 billion ($16.24 billion) in residential mortgages during the first nine months of 2024, marking a 4.88 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023. Of this amount, SR38.85 billion was allocated for home purchases, accounting for 64 percent of the total mortgage loans. However, the share of loans for house purchases declined slightly by 3.38 percent year on year, dropping from 69 percent in 2023.

Demand for apartments has surged in response to urbanization and demographic shifts. Apartments now account for 31 percent of all mortgages, up from 25 percent last year, with lending for apartment purchases reaching SR18.6 billion — an increase of 26.8 percent. Loans for land purchases also grew by 8.26 percent to reach SR3.5 billion, underscoring continued interest in land investment across the Kingdom.

The new partnership aims to provide liquidity in the market, ensuring a continuous flow of mortgage financing and supporting the development of the secondary mortgage market in Saudi Arabia.

At the signing ceremony, Al-Hogail also launched a new financing offer from Al-Ahli Bank, with rates starting as low as 2.59% for those interested in purchasing units under construction.

Mansour bin Madi, CEO of the Real Estate Development Fund, emphasized that the strategic partnership with SRC and financial institutions aims to improve the residential mortgage market and reduce financing costs for Saudi families. He highlighted that the initiative aligns with the objectives of the “Sakani” program and the broader real estate goals of Saudi Vision 2030.

Majeed Al-Abduljabbar, CEO of SRC, noted: “This partnership with Al-Ahli Bank is a crucial step in advancing the mortgage financing market in the Kingdom. Through this collaboration, we aim to offer innovative solutions that enhance liquidity, allowing financial institutions to provide mortgage financing tailored to market needs, while expanding property options for citizens.”

Tareq Al-Sadhan, CEO of Al-Ahli Bank, affirmed that the partnership with SRC demonstrates the bank’s commitment to fostering growth in the housing sector and contributing to the development of a dynamic secondary mortgage market. This, he added, will support Saudi Arabia’s broader economic diversification efforts.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,741

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,741
Updated 01 December 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,741

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 11,741

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 100.43 points, or 0.86 percent, to close at 11,741.74.  

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.63 billion ($1.23 billion), as 159 of the stocks advanced and 64 retreated.   

On the other hand, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 221.58 points, or 0.73 percent, to close at 30,173.12. This comes as 34 of the listed stocks advanced while 48 retreated.   

The MSCI Tadawul Index gained 11.24 points, or 0.77 percent, to close at 1,471.59.   

The best-performing stock of the day was Gulf Insurance Group, whose share price surged 8.35 percent to SR31.80.  

Other top performers included Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Co., whose share price rose 4.61 percent to SR15.44, and Lazurde Co. for Jewelry, whose share price increased 4.26 percent to SR13.70.

Tamkeen Human Resource Co. recorded the biggest drop, falling 11.34 percent to SR68.

Etihad Etisalat Co. also saw its stock prices fall 3.08 percent to SR53.50.

Meanwhile, Northern Region Cement Co. also saw its stock prices dropping 1.86 percent to SR8.98.

On the announcements front, Nice One Beauty Digital Marketing Co. has announced plans to raise up to SR1.2 billion by offering 30 percent of its shares on the Saudi Stock Exchange.

SNB Capital Co. will act as the offering’s lead manager, financial advisor, book-runner, and underwriter.

EFG Hermes Saudi Arabia will join as joint financial advisors, book-runners, and underwriters. The institutional book-building period will run from Dec. 1 to 8.

According to a Tadawul statement, the price range for the offering has been set between SR32 and SR35 per share. The offering is comprised of 34.650 million ordinary shares, representing 30 percent of the company’s capital after the issuance of new shares and capital increase.

The minimum number of offer shares to be applied for participating parties is 100,000, while the maximum is 5.7 million. The participation in the book-building process is confined to the participating parties in accordance with the Instructions for Book Building Process and Allocation Method in the initial public offering issued by the Capital Market Authority. 

The final price per offer share will be determined after the completion of the book-building process, to be followed by the individual subscriber’s subscription process. The final allocation of the offer shares will be made after the end of the subscription period for individual investors.


Saudi Arabia’s Economic Council reviews outlook, approves key growth strategies

Saudi Arabia’s Economic Council reviews outlook, approves key growth strategies
Updated 01 December 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s Economic Council reviews outlook, approves key growth strategies

Saudi Arabia’s Economic Council reviews outlook, approves key growth strategies

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Council of Economic and Development Affairs reviewed the Kingdom’s economic outlook and strategies to address global challenges, offering recommendations to support growth and resilience.  

In a video conference meeting, the council began by reviewing the quarterly economic report from the Ministry of Economy and Planning, which highlighted key developments in both global and national economies, the Saudi Press Agency reported. 

This follows Saudi Arabia’s 2.8 percent economic growth in the third quarter of 2024, driven by strong performance in non-oil sectors, official data showed.  

The country’s non-oil sector expanded by 4.2 percent year-on-year, in line with Vision 2030’s goal to reduce dependence on oil, according to a recent report from the General Authority for Statistics. 

During the meeting, the council reviewed the Ministry of Finance’s third-quarter report on the performance of the state’s general budget for fiscal year 2024. The report provided a breakdown of financial performance through the third quarter, including indicators for revenues, expenditures, and public debt. 

The findings confirm the Kingdom’s ongoing support for development projects, its strengthening of social care and protection systems, and its commitment to implementing major initiatives under Vision 2030. 

The Ministry of Commerce also presented a report from the Permanent Committee for Price Monitoring during the third quarter of 2024, outlining the roles and tasks of the committee's participants. 

The report highlighted key developments, including global price trends, consumption patterns, and inflation indicators in the Kingdom. It also detailed consumer goods prices for the third quarter and the measures taken to ensure the availability of goods and maintain price stability. 

The meeting also covered several other topics and reports, including the National Export Strategy Project, the National Savings Strategy, and initiatives related to financial inclusion and education. 

Additionally, the council reviewed the third-quarter 2024 Real Estate Price Index, the executive summary of foreign trade for August 2024, the September 2024 Consumer Price Index report, and the Wholesale Price Index report for the same period. 

The meeting concluded with the council making necessary decisions and recommendations on all discussed matters. The council’s recommendations and decisions are set to guide the country’s economic trajectory in the coming months. 


Oman inflation at 0.8% in October: official data

Oman inflation at 0.8% in October: official data
Updated 01 December 2024
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Oman inflation at 0.8% in October: official data

Oman inflation at 0.8% in October: official data

RIYADH: Oman’s inflation rate saw a modest 0.8 percent increase in October compared to the same month last year despite price increases across several categories, according to an official report.  

The National Center for Statistics and Information analysis revealed that consumer prices for miscellaneous goods and services increased by 4.8 percent year on year, followed by food and non-alcoholic beverages by 3.5 percent, healthcare by 3.2 percent, and culture and recreation by 0.8 percent.  

Restaurants and hotels also saw gains of 0.6 percent, clothing and footwear by 0.5 percent, household furniture and maintenance by 0.4 percent, and education by 0.1 percent.  

Conversely, transportation prices declined by 2.6 percent, while housing, utilities, fuel, communication, and tobacco categories remained stable.  

Breaking down the food and beverage category, vegetable prices recorded the largest increase at 8.9 percent. Fruits followed with an 8 percent rise. Dairy products, including milk, cheese, and eggs, increased by 5.4 percent. Oils and fats rose by 3.8 percent, while meat prices climbed by 2.8 percent. Sugar and confectionery saw a 2.4 percent increase. 

Processed foods increased by 1.8 percent, bread and cereals by 0.8 percent, and non-alcoholic beverages by 0.7 percent. Meanwhile, fish and seafood prices fell by 1.2 percent, partially offsetting the broader price hikes in food items.  

Broad money supply  

Data by the nation’s central bank pointed to a significant expansion in Oman’s broad money supply, which grew by 13.9 percent year on year, reaching 24.7 billion Omani rials ($64.1 billion) by the end of September.  

This growth was driven by an 18.2 percent increase in narrow money and a 12.3 percent rise in quasi-money, which includes savings deposits, term deposits in Omani rials, and certificates of deposit issued by banks, as well as margin accounts, and foreign currency holdings within the banking sector.  

Despite the overall monetary expansion, cash held by the public declined by 6.7 percent, while demand deposits surged by 25.1 percent, reflecting changing preferences in liquidity management.  

Commercial banks in Oman recorded rising interest rates during the period. The weighted average interest rate on Omani rial-denominated deposits increased from 2.453 percent in September 2023 to 2.679 percent in September this year.  

Similarly, the weighted average interest rate on loans denominated in Omani rials rose from 5.451 percent to 5.604 percent over the same period.  

Interbank lending rates for overnight transactions declined slightly, with the average falling to 4.896 percent in September compared to 5.388 percent in the same month last year.  

This shift aligns with the reduction in the weighted average repurchase rate, which decreased from 6.000 percent to 5.790 percent during the same timeframe. These movements are attributed to adjustments in monetary policy in line with the US Federal Reserve’s actions. 


COP16: A turning point for global land restoration and drought resilience  

COP16: A turning point for global land restoration and drought resilience  
Updated 18 min 25 sec ago
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COP16: A turning point for global land restoration and drought resilience  

COP16: A turning point for global land restoration and drought resilience  

RIYADH: The 16th session of the Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention to Combat Desertification is set to be a pivotal moment in the global fight against desertification and land degradation. 

Scheduled for Dec. 2-13, 2024, in Riyadh, COP16 carries the theme “Our Land. Our Future.”  

This event aligns with the 30th anniversary of the UNCCD and marks the first time its COP will convene in the Middle East and North Africa — a region acutely affected by the devastating impacts of desertification and drought. 

Why COP16 matters 

As one of the three Rio Conventions, alongside climate change and biodiversity, UNCCD plays a critical role in global environmental governance. COP16 aims to catalyze unprecedented ambition and investment to restore degraded lands and enhance drought resilience. 

The conference will focus on several key objectives:  

Scaling up land restoration: Accelerating efforts to restore 1.5 billion hectares of degraded land by 2030. 

Strengthening drought resilience: Enhancing global and national policy frameworks to better withstand and manage droughts. 

Promoting people-centered solutions: Ensuring the participation of local communities, women, and youth in land management and restoration efforts.  

“The COP16 plans to combat land degradation present exciting opportunities,” said Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer of Century Financial, in an interview with Arab News. 

“Land restoration will promote job growth, encourage sustainable development, and support local economies. According to the UNCCD, every dollar invested in restoring degraded lands yields between $7 and $30 in economic returns,” he added.  

Valecha underscored the importance of collaboration in achieving these ambitious goals, stating: “The target to reforest 1.5 billion hectares will require close collaboration among experts, universities, NGOs, government organizations, and the private sector. This collaboration will strengthen knowledge transfer to local communities and grassroots organizations, making development more sustainable in the long term.”  

HIGHLIGHTS

As the hosts, Saudi Arabia is also introducing the first-ever Green Zone at a UNCCD COP, aimed at mobilizing the scientific community, businesses, financial institutions, NGOs, and the public to deliver lasting change.

COP16 in Riyadh will host the first dual-track dialogue at a UNCCD COP, combining a negotiation track with an action agenda to address pressing environmental issues.  

The high-level segment of COP16, scheduled for Dec. 2-3, will feature ministerial dialogues on drought resilience, finance, and the impact of land degradation and drought on forced migration, security, and prosperity.  

Saudi Arabia’s hosting of COP16 highlights the region’s critical role in addressing desertification and water scarcity. 

The MENA region is one of the areas most impacted by desertification, with some areas experiencing nearly 100 percent land degradation.

‘Missed calls from the land’  

As COP16 in Riyadh approaches, the presidency announced the launch of the global campaign, “Missed calls from the land.”  

This initiative, supported by a campaign film, highlighted Saudi Arabia’s commitment as the UNCCD COP16 Presidency to raise global awareness about the urgent issues of land degradation, drought, and desertification.  

Currently, 40 percent of the world’s land is degraded, affecting 3.2 billion people. The UNCCD’s target aims to restore 1.5 billion hectares of degraded land by 2030.  

Valecha elaborated on how land restoration will have far-reaching impacts: “Restoration also improves water retention in the soil, enhances agricultural output, stimulates the livestock economy, and increases water availability for human consumption.”  

He added: “These efforts will create more green jobs, making economies more resilient in the face of climate challenges.”  

Ministerial dialogues  

COP16 in Riyadh will host the first dual-track dialogue at a UNCCD COP, combining a negotiation track with an action agenda to address pressing environmental issues.  

The high-level segment of COP16, scheduled for Dec. 2-3, will feature ministerial dialogues on drought resilience, finance, and the impact of land degradation and drought on forced migration, security, and prosperity.  

“COP16 in Riyadh is a critical moment for the international community to address land degradation, drought and desertification,” said Osama Faqeeha, deputy minister for environment and adviser to the UNCCD COP16 Presidency.  

In a press release, he added: “From food and water insecurity to climate change, conflict, instability, and forced migration, how we treat our land has a profound impact on lives and livelihoods around the world.” 

“In short, we need international solutions. Earlier this year, we achieved a significant milestone with the adoption of a historic resolution by the UN Environmental Assembly to halt land degradation,” Faqeeha added, speaking to Arab News.

As the hosts, Saudi Arabia is also introducing the first-ever Green Zone at a UNCCD COP, aimed at mobilizing the scientific community, businesses, financial institutions, NGOs, and the public to deliver lasting change.

Faqeeha highlighted Saudi Arabia’s initiatives: “We are determined to lead by example in land restoration and drought resilience, ultimately, showcasing how successful initiatives can create a thriving circular economy.”

He added: “Through the Saudi Green Initiative, we have already planted more than 100 million trees and rehabilitated more than 100,000 hectares of degraded land. This is part of our commitment to restore 40 million hectares through tree planting and other nature-based solutions.”

Faqeeha noted that “the Middle East Green Initiative further demonstrates our regional leadership in restoring 200 million hectares of degraded land across the region.”

“At the same time, we are engaging policymakers from around the world in a range of high-profile discussions to deliver decisive multilateral action. This dual-pronged approach is vital to accelerating the land restoration and drought resilience initiatives our planet and its people so desperately need,” said Faqeeha.

FAO’s central role  

The Food and Agriculture Organization will play a key role at COP16, reflecting its commitment to sustainable land management and food security. Abdul Hakim Elwaer, FAO’s assistant director-general, emphasized in remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat the organization’s active participation, including leading discussions on transforming food systems and coordinating thematic days like Food Day and Governance Day.  

Valecha tied land restoration directly to food security, emphasizing: “Land restoration is crucial for ensuring we have enough food for the future. Sustainable methods like agroecology and regenerative agriculture can improve soil health, reduce carbon emissions, and boost productivity, creating robust food supply chains that adapt to climate change.”  

Strengthening drought resilience  

Building resilience to drought will be a key focus of COP16, emphasizing the role of policies and technologies, with Valecha advocating for proactive measures. 

“To improve drought resilience, a comprehensive framework is needed. This includes identifying vulnerable areas, implementing early warning systems, and enacting policies to prevent water overuse,” he said.  

“Measures such as promoting drought-resistant crops and establishing drought management funds will provide essential protection for affected communities,” Valecha added. 

The integration of local and indigenous knowledge into these efforts is equally vital.   

Valecha said: “Indigenous communities, as key stakeholders in land restoration, possess deep understanding of their ecosystems. Their involvement can significantly reduce deforestation rates, as seen in countries like Nepal and regions in the Americas.”  

A regional and global impact  

Saudi Arabia’s hosting of COP16 highlights the region’s critical role in addressing desertification and water scarcity. 

The MENA region is one of the areas most impacted by desertification, with some areas experiencing nearly 100 percent land degradation. COP16 will provide an opportunity for regional countries to showcase their resilience strategies and contribute to shaping global policies.  

“The Gulf and MENA region, owing to its demographics, have been at the center of environmental challenges,” said Valecha. “However, initiatives such as drought and disease-resistant crop varieties by GCC nations demonstrate the region’s commitment to combating these challenges.”  

Moreover, COP16 will offer a platform to showcase innovative solutions, from advanced land management practices to cutting-edge technologies in water conservation.  

Youth and community engagement  

For the first time, COP16 will see Saudi Arabia host a Green Zone alongside the formal Blue Zone program. This inclusive public space will promote environmental awareness through family-friendly and cultural activities. 

The emphasis on inclusivity is central to COP16, with forums and training sessions for youth, women, and indigenous communities. The Green Zone will host discussions on sustainable land stewardship while featuring workshops, exhibitions, and interactive art installations.  

Valecha highlighted the potential of youth engagement at COP16: “Selected youth negotiators will participate in the Youth Negotiators Academy, equipping them with skills to advocate for actionable policies. These efforts promote intergenerational dialogue and foster solutions for sustainable livelihoods.”  

“Globally, women account for nearly 50 percent of agricultural labor in small-scale farming. Gender-inclusive policies across the value chain are critical to the success of restoration initiatives,” said Valecha. 

Innovative solutions and partnerships  

COP16 is expected to unveil groundbreaking initiatives, with Valecha anticipating significant developments. He added: “The conference could lead to the establishment of financing mechanisms and restoration funds. Cross-border partnerships can help maintain the Land Degradation Neutrality target and prevent further degradation of land resources.” 

Valecha emphasized the critical role of the private sector in achieving COP16’s goals, highlighting the potential contributions of international financial institutions and private companies. He pointed to favorable loans, green bonds, and funding for sustainable practices such as no-till farming and rotational grazing as key areas of support.  

He also stressed that public-private partnerships are vital for scaling up land restoration efforts. 

A call to action  

As COP16 commences, the world stands at a crossroads. This conference is not just a meeting but a call to action — a chance to turn ambition into tangible solutions for land, livelihoods, and the planet’s future.