Islamic banks in GCC likely to outperform conventional counterparts: Report

Analysts at Moody’s said that Islamic banks perform better primarily as a result of their low funding costs, which reflect their reliance on largely stable current and savings account balances. (Reuters)
Updated 19 March 2017
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Islamic banks in GCC likely to outperform conventional counterparts: Report

JEDDAH: The profitability of Islamic banks in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is likely to outpace that of their conventional peers for the second consecutive year in 2017 on the back of stronger margins and the resilient cost of risk, said a report issued by Moody’s Investors Service.

According to the report, Islamic banks have become more profitable than their conventional counterparts in 2016 after trailing for five years.
“Islamic banks will be able to maintain their profitability in 2017, as lower funding costs will support their margins against a backdrop of rising interest rates, while improvements in their risk management and asset quality will further ease the pressure on their cost of risk,” said Nitish Bhojnagarwala, assistant vice president — analyst at Moody’s.
Analysts at Moody’s said that Islamic banks perform better primarily as a result of their low funding costs, which reflect their reliance on largely stable current and savings account balances. “Islamic banks also tend to have higher asset yields, given their focus on retail and the real estate-related lending,” the report said.
Moody’s expects that Islamic banks will retain a margin advantage of about 40 basis points over conventional banks in 2017. Islamic banks’ net profit margins are analogous to conventional banks’ net interest margins.
“The cost of risk for Islamic banks has converged with the conventional peers as they diversify away from real estate lending toward other sectors and tighten their risk management practices. In the past, higher impairment charges on loans and investments have dampened Islamic banks’ profitability,” said Bhojnagarwala.
“Conventional banks will continue to beat Islamic peers in terms of cost efficiency,” he added.
Islamic banks have a higher cost base because they are younger and more focused on retail customer segments. This means higher levels of investment in branch network expansion and technology. Conventional banks in the GCC, in contrast, have already established their branch networks.


Saudi energy minister compares electric vehicle ‘hype’ to peak oil misconceptions

Updated 55 min 33 sec ago
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Saudi energy minister compares electric vehicle ‘hype’ to peak oil misconceptions

  • Khalid Al-Falih on Monday questioned what he described as the “hype” of the electric vehicle market
  • Compared it to past misconceptions around the theory of peak oil

LONDON: Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih on Monday questioned what he described as the “hype” of the electric vehicle market and compared it to past misconceptions around the theory of peak oil.
He told the CERAWeek energy gathering by IHS Markit in New Delhi that petrol and diesel engines would co-exist with emerging electric and hydrogen fuel cell technologies for much longer than widely expected.
Miscalculations around the pace of electrification could create “serious” risks around global energy security, he said.
“Conventional vehicles today, despite all the hype, represent 99.8 percent of the global vehicle fleet. That means electric vehicles with 0.2 percent of the fleet, only substitute about 30,000 barrels per day of oil equivalent of a total global oil demand of about 100 million barrels.
“Even if those numbers increase by a factor of 100 over the next couple of decades, they would still remain negligible in the global energy mix.”
He said: “History tells us that orderly energy transformations are a complex phenomenon involving generational time frames as opposed to quick switches that could lead to costly setbacks.”
In another broadside aimed at electric vehicles, the Saudi energy minister highlighted past misconceptions about global energy demand growth — and specifically the notion of “peak oil.”
“I remember thought leaders within the industry telling us that oil demand will peak at 95 million barrels per day. Had we listened to them and not invested . . . imagine the tight spot we would be in today.”
“Let’s also remember that in many parts of the world, roughly three fourths of the electricity, which would also power electric vehicles, is currently generated by coal, including here in India. So you could think of any electric vehicle running in the streets of Delhi as essentially being a coal-powered automobile.”
“When it comes to renewables, the fundamental challenge of battery storage remains unresolved — a factor that is essential to the intermittency issue impacting wind and solar power. Therefore the more realistic narrative and assessment is that electric vehicles and renewables will continue to make technological and economic progress and achieve greater market penetration — but at a relatively gradual rate and as a result, conventional energy will be with us for a long, long time to come.”