G-20: Compromise on climate change, but at what cost?

US President Donald Trump travels in Marine One after the G20 Summit in Hamburg, Germany on Sunday. Leaders of the world's top economies gather from July 7 to 8, 2017 in Germany for likely the stormiest G20 summit in years, with disagreements ranging from wars to climate change and global trade. (AFP)
Updated 09 July 2017
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G-20: Compromise on climate change, but at what cost?

HAMBURG: G-20 countries have managed to avoid a total bust-up with US President Donald Trump over climate change, leaving the door open for Washington to return to the Paris Agreement — but at the cost of risky concessions.
After Trump decided last month to pull out of the hard-fought deal to combat global warming, climate change was always going to be center-stage at this week’s gathering of the G-20 — major economies that are together responsible for the vast majority of harmful emissions.
Ultimately, the final joint statement after the summit in Hamburg underlined that the 2015 Paris deal is “irreversible,” while “taking note” of Washington’s decision to quit the agreement.
The key risk for defenders of the global pact is that other countries could now follow Trump’s lead.
The ink was barely dry on the G-20 statement before Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan threatened not to ratify the deal without financial concessions.
“After that step taken by America, the position that we adopt is in the direction of not passing it in Parliament,” Erdogan said.
The rest of the G-20 made an exceptional concession to the US by letting through a passage in their joint declaration specifically referring to Washington’s position.
It confirms that the US is committed to lowering its emissions, so long as this is compatible with economic growth.
Andrew Light of the World Resources Institute said this was the most interesting line in the text, indicating it stood in “stark contrast” with Trump’s arguments about pulling out in which he claimed, “fulfilling our commitments to Paris would hurt our economy.”
Celine Bak of Canada’s Center for International Governance Innovation hailed the wording as “a clear victory for the G-20, which knew how to formulate a statement that could allow President Trump to re-integrate into the Paris accord.”
She is not alone in hoping Washington could be brought back into the fold.
French President Emmanuel Macron said he “never gives up hope on convincing” Trump to change his mind on the Paris deal, while British Prime Minister Theresa May also said she believed such a return was possible.
“It’s good to be optimistic, but there comes a point where that turns into naivety,” said Francois Julliard of Greenpeace France.
“Yes, the United States could come back to the Paris accord, but right now, in concrete terms, they’re disengaging.”
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, for her part, said she “did not share the optimism” of those hoping for a change of heart.
A problem for the optimists is that the US passage of the statement could help cracks grow in the united global front on climate change.
It clearly states Washington’s wish to continue using and selling polluting fossil fuels.
“The strength of the Paris accord was that it was universal,” said Julliard.
“Today we have one country — and not just any country — that is going to launch a parallel process of negotiations with countries that want to go into fossil fuels.”
But Alden Meyer of the US Union of Concerned Scientists insisted the concession to America’s attachment to oil and gas “will do nothing to slow the accelerating shift away from polluting fossil fuels toward a global economy powered by clean, renewable energy.”
Ultimately, analysts say, US officials went into the G-20 talks seeking to tout their enormous shale gas and oil reserves to other countries — notably to Eastern European nations dependent on Russian gas.
“Trump’s speech and visit to Poland (on the eve of the summit) are testament to that,” said Bak.
Despite the uncertainties thrown up by the US maneuvers, the rest of the G-20 appear to be forging ahead with joint efforts on climate change — with the notable exception of Turkey, which has now signaled it wants its own concessions.
Macron announced a new summit on climate change in France on Dec. 12, notably to tackle the thorny issue of how to finance the shift to a cleaner economy.


Skepticism over whether Zardari will pursue united opposition

Zardari described the PTI leader as “prime minister-select.” (AFP)
Updated 3 min 38 sec ago
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Skepticism over whether Zardari will pursue united opposition

  • Pakistan Peoples Party leader, and former president, Asif Ali Zardari said on Sunday he is willing to talk to Nawaz Sharif despite political reservations
  • Some analysts believe the emergence of an opposition alliance remains unlikely for the foreseeable future

KARACHI: Senator Mushahidullah Khan, a leading figure in the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz, said on Monday that the actions of former president Asif Ali Zardari will show whether he is genuinely interested in forging a united opposition front against the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf-led administration of Prime Minister Imran Khan.
Zardari, the leader of the Pakistan Peoples Party, described the PTI leader as “prime minister-select” during a news conference on Sunday. He also voiced his grievances against Nawaz Sharif but added that it was still possible to have talks with the former prime minister.
“Nawaz Sharif is responsible for whatever is happening to me today,” he said, complaining that the legal cases he faces were lodged against him under Sharif’s administration.
However, Mushahidullah Khan said that it was not the PML-N leader who was responsible for the cases against Zardari, but the corrupt practices of the former president that created a situation where he now has to face National Accountability Bureau and anti-graft tribunals.
“We may proceed toward a joint opposition against the incumbent government,” he added. “Zardari’s statement is important but it will be his conduct in the next few days that will show how seriously he wants it to happen.”
“Unlike our political faction, Zardari’s Pakistan Peoples Party has formed its government in the province of Sindh, so it is unlikely to join the combined opposition at the very first instance. Still, it is good that he has realized the need to join hands with the rest of the opposition to oust Imran Khan since the PTI government has a fake mandate that can be undone.”
Zarrar Khuhro, a political analyst in Karachi, said: “When Imran Khan came to power, the opposition was fragmented. Now it seems to be moving a bit closer together.
“If it suits the political interests of political parties, they will join hands against Prime Minister Imran Khan — but it will depend on the political calculations and circumstances that can change.”
Afrasiab Khattak, a senior member of the Awami National Party, said it was important to build a strong opposition alliance.
“The challenges of Pakistan have compounded,” he said. “They can only be fixed when all democratic forces join hands together and sign a new charter of democracy like they did in 2006.
“If political parties fail to play their role in the current situation, they will become irrelevant. They must unite for the sake of democracy.”
However, Mazhar Abbas, a senior political analyst, said that the emergence of a major opposition alliance is not very likely in the foreseeable future.
“The speed of fake account cases against Zardari will determine the pace of his movement toward the joint opposition,” he said. “If there will be any opposition, it will be inside the parliament and not outside of it.”
He added that the coming sessions of parliament will determine whether Zardari’s statement was anything more than just talk.
“We will see if they move any joint resolution in parliament,” he said.