Daesh not dead yet but ‘caliphate’ dream in tatters
Daesh not dead yet but ‘caliphate’ dream in tatters
Daesh may not be dead yet but its dream of statehood has already been buried, analysts say.
No one in Daesh “will now think of imposing ‘the territory of the caliphate’,” said Hisham Al-Hashemi, an Iraqi specialist on extremist movements.
In 2014, self-proclaimed Daesh “caliph” Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi ruled over 7 million people in a territory as large as Italy encompassing large parts of Syria and nearly a third of Iraq.
This new “territory of Islam” — Dar Al-Islam in Arabic — attracted thousands of terrorists from around the world, many accompanied by their wives and children.
The city of Raqqa became the de facto Syrian capital, while Al-Baghdadi made his only public appearance in a mosque in Mosul, Iraq’s second largest city and once a major Middle East trading hub.
In all of the cities the terrorist group controlled, the black banner of Daesh flew above the buildings of a new administration.
Courts, hospitals and other official bodies even issued birth or marriage certificates or verdicts and other decrees on Daesh letterhead.
But less than four years after its sweeping offensive stunned the world, Daesh has lost almost all of the territory it controlled along with the precious income from oilfields that funded its activities.
“In the course of recent battles, especially Mosul, a huge number of terrorists have died,” said Kirk Sowell, publisher of Inside Iraqi Politics.
“Subsequent to that defeat, many others have surrendered or simply fled the country or are trying to melt into the population.”
According to the US-led coalition fighting Daesh, the terrorists have lost 95 percent of the cross-border caliphate they declared in 2014.
Al-Hashemi said that after suffering such heavy losses, “even what might remain of IS (Daesh) would not think of returning” to the idea of military and administrative control of territory.
And the routed group has been confined in Iraq to “four percent of the territory: Wadis, oases and desert areas” without any population, along the porous border with Syria where it has also been cornered into an ever-tightening noose.
In addition to the Syrian and Iraqi armies, the remaining terrorists face myriad forces backed by Russia, the US or Iran, often at odds with each other over their differing regional interests.
“The caliphate project ran up against geopolitical realities,” according to Karim Bitar of the Paris-based Institute of International and Strategic Affairs.
As a result, “the international terrorist galaxy is likely to revert to its previous strategy of de-territorialization and revert to strikes against the ‘distant enemy’ in the West or Russia to show it must still be reckoned with,” he added. There is already a figurehead waiting in the wings.
Daesh was born of the ashes of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant and Al-Qaeda before it, and Al-Hashemi said that despite the “caliphate” going down in flames, a new organization is beginning to emerge. “Most veterans of IS and Al-Qaeda in Iraq are now regrouping in Syria” where terrorist groups still occupy many areas, he said.
These fighters — “the most indoctrinated and most disciplined” — have since September been forming the “Ansar Al-Furqan group, led by Hamza bin Laden,” the son and would-be heir of Osama bin Laden.
The younger Bin Laden has become active as an Al-Qaeda propagandist since his father’s death at the hands of US special forces in 2011 in Pakistan.
In January, the US added Hamza bin Laden to its terrorist blacklist.
His father may be dead, but the Bin Laden name continues to attract recruits, Hashemi said.
Saudi Arabia pledges $100m to help ‘stabilize’ Syria’s northeast
- United States, which leads the anti-Daesh coalition, expressed its thanks for the funds
- The money will help ensure the militants cannot re-emerge as a threat
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has contributed $100 million to help reconstruct areas of north-eastern Syria formerly held by Daesh.
The Kingdom said the contribution would go toward a campaign by the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS to “stabilize” the former Daesh bastion and help ensure the militants cannot re-emerge as a threat.
The United States, which leads the coalition, expressed its thanks and appreciation to Riyadh.
“This significant contribution is critical to stabilization and early recovery efforts,” a State Department spokeswoman said. “Saudi Arabia has been a leading partner in the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS from the outset.”
US applauds today’s announcement by #SaudiArabia of its contribution of $100 million for ongoing, @Coalition-supported stabilization efforts in areas liberated from ISIS in #Syria. This contribution is critical to stabilization & early recovery efforts. https://t.co/TPJ2Zx5HJl— Heather Nauert (@statedeptspox) August 17, 2018
The funds are the biggest single financial contribution yet for reconstruction efforts in areas formerly controlled by the extremists.
The money would “save lives, help facilitate the return of displaced Syrians, and help ensure that Daesh cannot reemerge to threaten Syria, its neighbors, or plan attacks against the international community,” the Saudi Embassy in Washington said.
The contribution aims to support “stabilization projects” and “will play a critical role in the coalition’s efforts to revitalize communities, such as Raqqa, that have been devastated by Daesh terrorists.”
The statement said the money showed Saudi Arabia’s continued commitment to serve as a stabilizing force in the region.
The funds, part of a pledge made by Foreign Minister Adel Al-Jubeir last month, will go towards projects to restore essential services in the areas of health, agriculture, electricity, water, education, and transportation.
Press Release: #KSA contributes $100 million for Syria’s stabilization efforts to areas liberated from ISIS. KSA has been a leading partner in the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS. Funds will focus on projects to restore essential services across key areas.https://t.co/7OWSndDsnV— Saudi Embassy (@SaudiEmbassyUSA) August 16, 2018
The United Nations has said reconstruction in Syria would cost at least $250 billion. The Daesh takeover of large areas of territory in Syria and Iraq in 2014 led to huge levels of destruction.
A conference on the reconstruction of Iraq held in Kuwait in February raised $30 billion in funding commitment. Saudi Arabia said at the event it would contribute $1.5 billion in financial and reconstruction support.
Saudi Arabia also hosted the founding conference for the coalition in Jeddah in September 2014, and soon after flew the first air missions to bomb Daesh targets in Syria.