Victory and defeat in an election are a judgment call between options, not an epic choice between good and evil. It takes a couple of days at most for the celebrations to peter out and the tantrums to ease; then it is back to the difficult business of delivering governance against the background of raised expectations.
Manmohan Singh is showing every sign of being a sensible victor. The evidence for this assumption lies in the decision to give Kamal Nath, one of the stars of the last government, road transport and highways.
It is possible to argue that Kamal Nath turned commerce into a glamorous ministry by the force of his personality. By the measure of any political yardstick, he has had every right to feel that he is both senior to and at least as competent as P. Chidambaram, who has had the better portfolios. However, politics is less about justice and more about being in the right place at the right time.
The most suitable metaphor for power in Delhi comes, appropriately, from the safari park, with variations to extend the nomenclature beyond the cat family. At the top are the Big Five. The prime minister is the lion, though hopefully with the diligence of the lioness rather than the feed-me indolence of the male cat. The finance minister would be legitimately the tiger. Defense and external affairs would be elephants, controlling their patch with hauteur, but essentially vegetarian by nature. Elephants might trumpet and trample, but they don’t bite. I suppose the human resources minister could lay claim to being the leopard. That gives the job status in the eyes of the jungle, but over the last decade the claws of this leopard have been manicured to nonexistence. Both the BJP-led NDA and the Congress-led UPA allotted human resources to seniors in order to minimize the damage he could do to the Big Boss. Murli Manohar Joshi and Arjun Singh considered themselves worthy of the prime minister’s job, and were convinced that it was only a matter of time before summons arrived from destiny. It may sound a bit cruel, but the fact is that P.V. Narasimha Rao, Atal Behari Vajpayee and Manmohan Singh converted the HRD office from a waiting room for promotion into the ante-room of oblivion. Joshi left office with a faintly malodorous air, and Arjun Singh left in tears. His relevance in the Congress party is more or less over. Kamal Nath’s name was bandied about as the HRD minister of this government because he was considered too senior to take a lesser job. But being a sharp man, wise in the ways of the Congress, he decided to avoid the trap of a first-class waiting room with second-class prospects.
The prime minister has sent a signal, picked up early and clearly by Kamal Nath, that the quality of infrastructure development in the next five years will be a vital key to public perception of the success or failure of this government. This was one area in which the BJP’s charge that the Vajpayee initiative had tapered off was received well by the voter. Manmohan Singh fought hard and successfully to keep the DMK out of infrastructure because he knew that this perception had some truth in it. These nodal ministries are much in demand because of the massive spending involved. Spending is a gilt-edged invitation to corruption. Road transport and highways is a responsibility that extends equally to every part of the country, urban and rural. It is the most visible measure of change. The manner in which Praful Patel transformed civil aviation into a dynamic development office, rather than a status quoist job riddled with babu-level favoritism, is an indication of what a good minister can do with opportunity. What was the name of the last highways minister? The fact that you would probably have to be the last minister’s close relative to recall his name is evidence of the decline it suffered in the last five years. Trust me, you will not forget that Kamal Nath is in charge this time. Neither will the contractors.
If Vilasrao Deshmukh was a disaster as Maharashtra chief minister, there is no earthly reason to expect that he will be a paragon of Harvard business school now that he has been put in charge of heavy industries. He is being, as they say, “accommodated”.
The case of chemicals and fertilizers must be similar. The only really in-demand ministry that he has given the DMK is communications, and he has put two Congress ministers of state as guardian angels — to guard Congress interests.
There is no confusion this time about the pecking order at the top. Pranab Mukherjee is the clear second-in-command, while A.K. Antony comes next. The highest table has no fourth place. There is a high table after that, shared by the external affairs minister, finance minister, the law minister and the road transport minister. The rest contribute to the attractions of the political safari, but they don’t sell tickets.
