Al-Naimi favors $70-$80 range for oil

Author: 
REUTERS
Publication Date: 
Sun, 2010-12-12 00:15

Asked by reporters in Quito what price range Saudi Arabia favored, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources Ali Al-Naimi said: "$70-$80 is a good price."
Al-Naimi was speaking at a meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries that agreed to keep production restraints in place, despite a recent surge in crude prices to $90 a barrel.
A delegate told Reuters that ministers had agree no change in supply after a short meeting and decided to hold their next meeting in June.
In early November Al-Naimi appeared to raise the top end of his preferred price range to $90 when he said consumers were coping with a $70-$90 range.
US crude closed at $87.79 a barrel on Friday have touched a two-year high of $90.76 earlier in the week.
OPEC does not want oil prices to rise to $100 a barrel but the producer group cannot act if prices rise and fundamentals are in balance, Secretary General Abdalla El-Badri said on Saturday.
"If there is a problem with fundamentals then we would be concerned, but if the fundamentals are okay and there is enough oil in the market and the prices shoots to $147 as what happened in 2008, this is not our problem. This is a speculation problem," El-Badri said an OPEC press conference.
"There is plenty of oil in the market, there is no shortage."
Other ministers said they were content with current price levels. Most bullish was Venezuela but all others who commented said they were content with prices and saw no need to raise output.
"We believe that the market should compensate high production costs. $100 would appear to be an adequate price," said Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez.
Iranian Oil Minister Massoud Mirkazemi said global oil demand was "not good" and that "nominal prices are good, real prices are not."
"For the time being prices are quite fair," said Algeria's Oil Minister Youcef Yousfi.
The comments will raise questions among oil traders about what conditions OPEC requires to lift supply.
Shokri Ghanem, chairman of Libya's National Oil Corporation, said fundamentals rather than price were paramount.
"Once there is a shortage in the market, or once we feel there is a shortage in the market, we of course will increase production but it is not just a function of the price," Ghanem said.
With OPEC's next meeting not scheduled until June, markets may now test Saudi Arabia's resolve in keeping prices below $80.
"Clearly prices too high will not help us in the long run, as we saw in 2008," said a Gulf OPEC delegate.
Oil hit a record $147 a barrel in 2008, hitting fuel demand just as economic recession undercut the market and sent crude to a low of under $34 a barrel.
OPEC agreed its biggest ever supply curbs at the end of 2008 and has not changed policy since.
Many in OPEC argue that inventories are sufficient and some say that speculators are to blame for pushing prices higher.
Inventories held among the industrialized nations of the OECD are high at 60 days of forward demand. But the International Energy Agency, adviser to consumer nations on energy, said on Friday that world demand, bolstered by an early winter cold snap, is rising more quickly than expected.
Extra demand has flattened the oil futures price curve and reduced the discount for prompt crude, cutting the incentive for traders to store crude. That is likely to mean inventories start dropping.

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