With only about 10 days to go before the world's top film
honors, Oscar pundits are re-thinking their picks, and as much as co-hosts
James Franco and Anne Hathaway are expected to bring a youthful glow to the
awards show, the races for best actor and actress could offer some surprises,
experts say.
The Academy Awards, where A-list movie stars like Nicole
Kidman and Javier Bardem will turn out in their finest gowns, jewelry and
tuxedos, unrolls its red carpet on Feb. 27, and already Hollywood is gearing up
with a week of celebrations leading up to its biggest night of the year.
But the really big show will be Sunday's awards, where the
tension is building not so much over whether "King's Speech" will win
best film, as expected. Rather, the question is: Can it sweep through the other
top categories?.
"It looks like a 'King's Speech' coronation. The
question is how wide will its influence spread,” said veteran Oscar watcher Tom
O'Neil of awards websites goldderby.com and theenvelope.com.
Drama "The King's Speech," which tells how British
King George VI overcame his stammer to rally his countrymen on the eve of World
War II, is widely expected to win best film after picking up similar awards
from Hollywood guilds representing actors, directors, writers and producers.
Among 10 nominees for best movie, "King's Speech"
faces its toughest competition from Facebook film "The Social
Network," which won top honors among many critics groups but has fallen
off the pace in recent weeks.
Other top nominees include ballet drama "Black
Swan," "The Fighter," "True Grit" and "The Kids
Are All Right." The tight races for the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and
Sciences' Oscars are in acting categories, and perhaps the toughest competition
is for best director among "King's Speech" maker Tom Hooper and
"Social Network" helmsman David Fincher.
In the best actor race, Colin Firth is widely picked to win
for his performance as King George VI, but among actresses, the competition is
too close to call between "Black Swan" actress Natalie Portman and
Annette Bening in "Kids Are All Right." Portman turned in a strong
performance as a ballerina growing into womanhood, and has claimed many early
awards, including Golden Globe and Screen Actors Guild trophies.
But Bening, who portrays a lesbian mother in
"Kids," is a three-time loser at the Oscars, and there is a feeling
that it is her time to win. Moreover, she is a member of the Academy's Board of
Governors and is well-liked in the group.
"Annette Bening has been doing a lot of campaigning,
and she has a lot of support," said Pete Hammond, Oscar watcher for
Deadline Hollywood. "That (race) is ripe for a slight upset." Among
supporting actors and actresses, Christian Bale playing a drug-addicted boxer
in "The Fighter" and Melissa Leo as his mother, are widely-picked to
win.
But the experts said that if "King's Speech"
sweeps through early categories like costume design, it will have momentum.
Fans might see its supporting star Geoffrey Rush win. Likewise, Helena Bonham
Carter in "King Speech" or 14 year-old Hailee Steinfeld in "True
Grit" could claim supporting actress.
The tightest race is best director. "King's
Speech" maker Hooper claimed top honors from Hollywood's directors, but
Fincher took home the British film Academy's honor on Hooper's home turf.
Experts said the race is too close to call.
Meanwhile, Oscar organizers took the highly unusual step of
hiring non-comedians — Franco, 32, and Hathaway, 28 — as the co-hosts for this
year's telecast, which annually is the second most watched TV show in the
United States.
Typically, the Academy has hired comics such as Jon Stewart
or Ellen DeGeneres to host the show, but Franco and Hathaway are dramatic
actors. Their choice is widely viewed as a move by the Academy to lure younger
audiences.
Franco, Hathaway and the show's producers have been quiet about
what they have in store on Oscar night, but in interviews with Oscar organizers
the hosts echoed the "You're Invited" theme of this year's show,
saying it was inclusive for movie audiences of all types and ages.
Hathaway said Franco would be the perfect host because he'll
do just about anything to get the right performance.
"When it comes to taking risks, especially in comedy
and all kinds of performance, I think James is the most brave actor of my
generation," Hathaway said. "I don't think he has any kind of ego
about that stuff." Last year's telecast lured 41 million US viewer - the
most-watched Oscars in five years - and organizers hope to maintain that
momentum. In fact, the recent Grammy (music) and Golden Globe (film and TV)
awards saw increased viewers.
