Afghan insurgent attacks rise sharply this year, says study

KABUL: Attacks by Afghanistan’s Taleban and other insurgents soared in the first quarter of 2013, raising the grim prospect of an unusually violent year, a study by an independent group showed yesterday.
The violence overwhelmingly targets Afghan troops and police as foreign combat forces step back from the frontline in preparation for withdrawal from the country next year, according to the Afghanistan NGO Safety Office (ANSO).
ANSO reported 2,331 insurgent attacks in January-March, a 47 percent rise on the first quarter of last year.
“We assess that the current re-escalation trend will be preserved throughout the entire season and that 2013 is set to become the second most violent year after 2011,” said its report.
The year 2011 was the bloodiest in the conflict, which began when a US-led invasion ousted the Taleban government in Kabul in 2001. But US-dominated foreign forces are pulling out, and the report found that 73 percent of all attacks in January-March were against Afghan soldiers or police.
A further 10 percent targeted civilians seen as associated with the Kabul government. Only four percent were against foreign forces.
ANSO director Tomas Muzik described his organization’s assessment as “grim,” but said it “only represents a further escalation in the perpetual stalemate that has come to characterize the conflict.”
ANSO conducts safety assessments for non-governmental organizations operating in the country and is supported by the European Commission, the Swiss development agency and the Norwegian Foreign Ministry.
Afghanistan’s Defense Ministry confirmed a “big increase” in Taleban attacks on the country’s army but disputed the figures in the ANSO report.
Ministry spokesman Zaher Azimi said casualty figures for the army would be released soon.