Capital Economics sees stronger Gulf non-oil growth in 2022 and 2023

Capital Economics sees stronger Gulf non-oil growth in 2022 and 2023
Capital Economics raised its forecast for Brent crude by 8 percent this year to $70 a barrel. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 21 January 2022

Capital Economics sees stronger Gulf non-oil growth in 2022 and 2023

Capital Economics sees stronger Gulf non-oil growth in 2022 and 2023

RIYADH: Higher oil prices will support looser Gulf fiscal spending for the next two years, with a knock-on effect on non-oil growth in the region, according to Capital Economics.

The economic consultancy updated its oil-price forecasts this week, predicting Brent crude will end 2022 at $70 a barrel and 2023 at $65 a barrel, up from previous forecasts of $60 and $55, respectively. The change was driven by the expectation that Russia and some smaller producers within OPEC+, the alliance of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers, will struggle to meet their production quotas.

That led to an upgrade in Gulf hydrocarbon export revenue prediction of 8 percent and 11 percent for this year and next, respectively, Capital Economics Middle East and North Africa Economist James Swanston wrote in a research note.

“The upshot is that higher oil prices will keep the door for fiscal loosening ajar for longer, which may provide scope for slightly stronger growth in non-oil sectors,” he wrote. “But, as prices head below $70pb in 2023, that door will gradually close.”

For Middle East economies outside the Gulf, continued high oil prices will mean current-account deficits stay wider for longer, the note said. For countries that haven’t scaled back fuel subsidies, fiscal budgets will also remain under pressure.

“This furthers cement our view that, with officials struggling to push through fiscal consolidation, Tunisia will continue along the past to a sovereign default,” Swanston said.


UAE producing near to its maximum oil production capacity: Energy minister

UAE producing near to its maximum oil production capacity: Energy minister
Updated 56 sec ago

UAE producing near to its maximum oil production capacity: Energy minister

UAE producing near to its maximum oil production capacity: Energy minister

ABU DHABI: The UAE is producing near to its maximum oil production capacity based on its current OPEC+ production baseline, Emirates News Agency (WAM) reported on Monday.

“In light of recent media reports, I would like to clarify that the UAE is producing near to our maximum production capacity based on its current OPEC+ production baseline (3,168 mbopd) which UAE is committed by until the end of the agreement,” Suhail bin Mohammed Al-Mazrouei, Emirati Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, said.

 


NEOM awards London-based Keller major piling contract for ‘The Line’

NEOM awards London-based Keller major piling contract for ‘The Line’
Updated 27 June 2022

NEOM awards London-based Keller major piling contract for ‘The Line’

NEOM awards London-based Keller major piling contract for ‘The Line’

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s $500-billion project NEOM has awarded UK’s Keller a major piling contract for “The Line,” a 170-km megacity being developed within the Kingdom’s flagship project. 

Starting in the west at the Gulf of Aqaba and terminating at the NEOM International Airport within the upper valley region, The Line is subdivided into around 135 modules, according to a statement. 

Each module contains eight buildings founded on large diameter bored piles. 

Keller had signed an umbrella framework agreement with respect to the project, and is mobilizing for an anticipated first works order on a portion of Module 40 which has an expected value to Keller of around £50 million ($61.5 million), with the work anticipated to be completed within the next 12 months.

Listed on the London Stock Exchange, Keller is an independent geotechnical solutions specialist.


NEOM, McLaren Racing partner to drive innovation in electric motorsport

NEOM, McLaren Racing partner to drive innovation in electric motorsport
Updated 27 June 2022

NEOM, McLaren Racing partner to drive innovation in electric motorsport

NEOM, McLaren Racing partner to drive innovation in electric motorsport

RIYADH: NEOM, one of Saudi Arabia’s flagship projects, has partnered with McLaren Racing to drive innovation and talent development in electric motorsport, according to a statement. 

With the partnership, NEOM becomes the title partner of the McLaren Formula E and Extreme E racing teams, which brings the two electric race series together under the banner of NEOM McLaren Electric Racing.

“Our partnership with McLaren Racing complements NEOM’s commitment to driving sustainable solutions and tackling some of society's most pressing challenges,” CEO Nadhmi Al-Nasr said. 

“The partnership will allow us to share our collective resources and experience to yield exciting results, not only for our own organizations, but also for the broader automotive and sports industries,” he added. 

McLaren will be located within OXAGON’s Research and Innovation Campus, which will provide cutting edge facilities and collaboration spaces. 

During 2023, McLaren and NEOM will create a bespoke program to nurture engineers and students, in line with the mega project’s commitment to develop Saudi talent. 


Thailand to seek fertilizer supply from Saudi producers

Thailand to seek fertilizer supply from Saudi producers
Updated 27 June 2022

Thailand to seek fertilizer supply from Saudi producers

Thailand to seek fertilizer supply from Saudi producers

RIYADH: Thailand is planning to negotiate with Saudi Arabia for the supply of fertilizers as the country is currently facing a shortage, especially due to the high cost of imports.

The Thai Chamber of Commerce will coordinate with Saudi suppliers and a business event is to be held between three major Saudi-based fertilizer suppliers and Thai importers on June 29, Thai local media reported citing Commerce Minister Jurin Laksanawisit.

Laksanawisit added that two Saudi suppliers were recently provided permission to sell fertilizers to Thailand.

Thailand heavily relies on imports for its fertilizers, with only 8 percent coming from domestic sources and a usage of about 5 million tons of fertilizer a year, according to the minister.

The country’s overall demand for fertilizer from Saudi Arabia is about 808,000 tons, the media report noted citing industry statistics.


US stocks — Wall Street sheds opening gains on losses in high-growth stocks

US stocks — Wall Street sheds opening gains on losses in high-growth stocks
Updated 27 June 2022

US stocks — Wall Street sheds opening gains on losses in high-growth stocks

US stocks — Wall Street sheds opening gains on losses in high-growth stocks
  • S&P 500 energy stocks among few gainers
  • Robinhood rises on Goldman Sachs upgrade
  • Indexes down: Dow 0.24 percent, S&P 0.36 percent, Nasdaq 0.68 percent

REUTERS: Wall Street’s main indexes fell after opening higher on Monday, as a rally last week on easing concerns over inflation lost steam, with high-growth stocks leading declines.

“We had a nice rally last week, so I think we’re seeing a little bit of profit taking this morning,” said Dennis Dick, a proprietary trader at Bright Trading LLC in Las Vegas.

“The stocks that were up the most last week are the ones getting hit the hardest here today.”

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index, which gained 7.5 percent last week, fell 0.7 percent to lead declines among the three major indexes.

Investors were betting on the retreat in oil prices from the three-month highs hit in June to potentially ease inflationary pressures and likely push the Federal Reserve to moderate its aggressive policy tightening.

However, data on Monday showed new orders for US-made capital goods and shipments increased solidly in May, pointing to sustained strength in business spending on equipment in the second quarter.

Oil prices also moved back into positive territory, pushing up the S&P 500 energy index by 2.2 percent, reining in expectations for inflation falling on the back of lower energy prices.

The US central bank has rapidly raised interest rates to tame 40-year-high inflation, stoking fears its actions could tip the world’s largest economy into a recession.

After the benchmark S&P 500 index earlier this month recorded a 20 percent drop from its January closing peak to confirm a bear market, investors have been trying to gauge when the market might hit its bottom.

At 10:11 a.m. ET the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 76.62 points, or 0.24 percent, at 31,424.06, the S&P 500 was down 13.94 points, or 0.36 percent, at 3,897.80 and the Nasdaq Composite was down 78.44 points, or 0.68 percent, at 11,529.19.

Shares of Robinhood Markets rose 0.6 percent after media reports said Goldman Sachs upgraded the retail broker’s stock to “neutral” from “sell.”

Goldman Sachs, however, cut rating on Coinbase Global Inc. to “sell” from “buy,” according to media reports, sending shares of the cryptocurrency exchange lower by 9.4 percent.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.03-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.31-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 29 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 16 new highs and 41 new lows.