Central Bank of Jordan introduces new Shariah-compliant monetary policy tools 

Central Bank of Jordan introduces new Shariah-compliant monetary policy tools 
The central bank will be able to provide Islamic banks with daytime liquidity, overnight liquidity, and liquidity extending up to one week. Shutterstock
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Updated 28 February 2024
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Central Bank of Jordan introduces new Shariah-compliant monetary policy tools 

Central Bank of Jordan introduces new Shariah-compliant monetary policy tools 

RIYADH: Liquidity management in Jordan’s cash market is set to undergo a significant transformation as the country’s central bank introduces new tools for monetary policy. 

Aligned with Shariah laws, the Central Bank of Jordan has introduced these instruments in collaboration with Islamic banks operating within the country. The goal is to enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of liquidity management in the cash market, the Jordan News Agency reported. 

These new measures will not only assist Islamic banks in achieving more flexible liquidity management but also contribute to the establishment of an effective interbank market among them. 

HIGHLIGHTS

• These new measures will not only assist Islamic banks in achieving more flexible liquidity management but also contribute to the establishment of an effective interbank market among them.

• The central bank will be able to provide Islamic banks with daytime liquidity, overnight liquidity, and liquidity extending up to one week.

• The goal of the new measure is to enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of liquidity management in the cash market.

Under the framework of these tools, the central bank will be able to provide Islamic banks with daytime liquidity, overnight liquidity, and liquidity extending up to one week.

This will be done based on the banks’ requests or at the apex bank’s initiative, allowing flexibility in terms of timing, amount, and duration. The Central Bank of Jordan will determine these parameters to align with its operational objectives in implementing monetary policy.  

This move by the central bank comes as part of its efforts to develop the operational framework of monetary policy and diversify the tools at its disposal. The decision is in line with the best practices of central banks and addresses the specific needs of the local cash and banking market, as reported by PETRA. 

In a related development, earlier in January, 16 Jordanian banks jointly launched the first private sector investment fund, committing $388 million to foster the growth of local businesses. 

The Jordan Capital and Investment Fund, established in 2021 with a capital commitment of 275 million dinars ($387.6 million), was officially registered under the 2022 Investment Environment Law, the state news agency reported. 

The instrument aims to inject money into emerging firms with growth, development, and expansion prospects, providing financing to enhance job opportunities and propel nationwide growth, as stated in an official statement reported by the Jordan News Agency. 

As the country’s first and largest private sector investment fund, it is designed to allocate funds to vital and promising sectors, such as food and health security, manufacturing, and information and communication technology. The objective is to harness Jordan’s potential in building the future, it added. 

At that time, Hani Al-Qadi, the chairman of the Jordan Capital and Investment Fund, had said the fund is crucial for achieving “accelerated growth” by fully leveraging Jordan’s economic potential. 


UAE GDP grows 3.4% in Q1, driven by non-oil sector

UAE GDP grows 3.4% in Q1, driven by non-oil sector
Updated 36 sec ago
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UAE GDP grows 3.4% in Q1, driven by non-oil sector

UAE GDP grows 3.4% in Q1, driven by non-oil sector

RIYADH: The UAE’s gross domestic product reached 430 billion dirhams ($117 billion) in the first quarter of 2024, marking a 3.4 percent year-on-year growth.

Economy Minister Abdulla Al-Marri highlighted that the preliminary estimates from the Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Center emphasize the vitality of the UAE economy and its ability to sustain growth, as reported by Emirates News Agency, also known as WAM.

The non-oil sector played a significant role in this expansion, with a 4 percent increase contributing substantially to the overall economic performance.

Al-Marri attributed this success to the UAE’s adoption of an innovative economic model, guided by the nation’s leadership. “The UAE has embraced an innovative economic model that aligns with its future vision, supported by effective national strategies, global openness, and a focus on flexibility and innovation,” Al-Marri stated, according to WAM.

“These results align with the UAE’s long-term vision, We the UAE 2031, which aims to elevate the national GDP to 3 trillion dirhams within the next decade,” he said. This commitment to sustainable growth is reflected in the performance of key sectors such as finance, transportation, construction, and tourism.

Hanan Ahli, managing director of the Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Center, noted the substantial contributions of these sectors. “The financial and economic data from Q1 2024 demonstrate the resilience of the UAE’s vital economic sectors,” Ahli said. She added that the UAE’s strong global economic competitiveness is supported by a stable financial system, robust economic fundamentals, and effective policy frameworks.

In the first quarter of 2024, financial and insurance activities emerged as the leading non-oil sector, growing by 7.9 percent, fueled by a 6 percent rise in local credit extended to the private sector. The transportation and storage sector also showed impressive growth, with a 7.3 percent increase, supported by a 14.7 percent rise in passenger traffic through UAE airports, which saw 36.5 million travelers. Additionally, Dubai’s international ports handled 3.7 percent more containers, while Abu Dhabi’s ports experienced a 36 percent increase in cargo volume.

Construction and building activities grew by 6.2 percent, largely due to increased public capital expenditures, totaling 4.8 billion dirhams in the first quarter, compared to the previous year. The restaurant and hotel sector expanded by 4.6 percent, bolstered by an 11 percent rise in international tourists visiting Dubai, which welcomed 5.18 million visitors. Abu Dhabi also experienced strong tourism performance, with increases in hotel occupancy rates and revenue per available room.

In terms of non-oil GDP contributions, trade activities led with a 16.1 percent share, followed by manufacturing at 14.6 percent, and financial and insurance activities at 13.4 percent. Construction and real estate activities contributed 11.8 percent and 7.1 percent, respectively.


New shipping service to boost trade between Saudi Arabia and India

New shipping service to boost trade between Saudi Arabia and India
Updated 1 min 58 sec ago
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New shipping service to boost trade between Saudi Arabia and India

New shipping service to boost trade between Saudi Arabia and India

JEDDAH: A new shipping route connecting Jeddah to India’s major commercial hubs has been launched by a subsidiary of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund.  

Folk Maritime Services Co., which specializes in regular liner and feeder services, will connect Jeddah Islamic Port on the Red Sea with the Asian country’s maritime hubs of Mundra and Nhava Sheva.

Starting in September, this ten-day service, operated by two ships, will enhance trade links by facilitating the movement of goods and products, including petrochemical materials, between the Kingdom and India, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

As the country advances its National Strategy for Transport and Logistics Services, seeking to establish itself as a leading global logistics hub in line with Vision 2030, Folk Maritime’s initiative represents a significant step toward achieving these goals.

Saudi Arabia ranks as India’s fourth-biggest trading partner, while the Asian country is the Kingdom’s second-largest.

The Arab state is also a key pillar for India’s energy security and an important economic collaborator for investments and technology transfer.

Data from the General Authority for Statistics reveals that exports to India from Saudi Arabia in 2023 totaled SR113.35 billion ($30.20 billion), while imports from India were SR43.57 billion.

The Kingdom was the third-largest crude exporter to India, supplying 39.5 million tons, or 16.7 percent of the country’s total oil imports.

A report from GASTAT released in July underlined that Saudi Arabia’s shipments to India were worth SR8.03 billion in May, with non-oil exports valued at SR2.23 billion, led by chemical and allied products at SR1.27 billion.


Saudi banks issue $1.9bn in new loans in July as apartment lending surges 

Saudi banks issue $1.9bn in new loans in July as apartment lending surges 
Updated 09 September 2024
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Saudi banks issue $1.9bn in new loans in July as apartment lending surges 

Saudi banks issue $1.9bn in new loans in July as apartment lending surges 

RIYADH: Saudi banks granted SR7.07 billion ($1.9 billion) in new residential mortgage loans in July, marking a 33 percent increase from the previous month, according to recent data.  

Figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, showed that the number of loan contracts surged to 9,605, up from 7,274 in the previous month. 

These residential loans are primarily used for purchasing houses, apartments, and land. The majority — 62 percent, or SR4.38 billion — was allocated for house purchases. While loans for houses rose by 28 percent month on month, their share of the residential mortgage market dropped from 72 percent a year ago to 62 percent.    

Meanwhile, loans for apartments have been gaining traction, reaching SR2.26 billion in July— a 40 percent monthly growth. Their share has risen from 23 percent to 32 percent over the past year. 

Loans for land purchases, while representing the smallest portion at 6 percent, saw the highest monthly growth rate, surging 63 percent to SR429 million.  

The shift toward apartment lending reflects changing economic and demographic trends in Saudi Arabia.  

While villas remain a symbol of aspiration, the practicalities of affordability are steering more buyers toward apartments, particularly in cities like Riyadh, where property prices are steadily increasing. 

The rising cost of borrowing has eroded purchasing power, making apartments a more viable option for many. Riyadh’s projected population growth, expected to reach between 15 million and 20 million by 2030, further fuels this demand, particularly for smaller, more affordable homes and rental units. 

Additionally, the influx of both local migrants and expatriates into the capital is creating a diverse housing market where apartments are increasingly sought after, driving up their share of new residential loans. 

According to a 2024 study by Knight Frank, Saudi Arabia’s residential property market has experienced notable price growth over the past three years, with apartment prices in Riyadh reaching SR5,150 per sq. meter and villa prices hitting SR4,900 per sq. meter. 

This represents a 26 percent and 21 percent increase from the last peak in 2016, respectively according to the study. 

The surge in property prices is largely driven by the government’s ambitious Vision 2030 goal to increase homeownership from over 60 percent to 70 percent. This has been supported by various mortgage programs aimed at facilitating the transition from renting to owning. 

By the end of 2023, homeownership in the Kingdom rose to 63.74 percent, exceeding the government’s target. The new Premium Residency Visa option has further expanded the market to international buyers, contributing to the increased demand. 

An August report by Knight Frank revealed a 38 percent increase in real estate transactions in the first half of 2024, totaling 106,700 deals valued at SR127.3 billion. Residential transactions, comprising 61 percent of the total, saw a 41 percent increase in volume and a 48 percent increase in value, reaching SR77.6 billion. 

This growth is attributed to government initiatives, such as the Housing Program, which supported over 96,000 families with affordable financing, and the Development Housing Program, assisting more than 20,000 households. 

The former, which was launched in 2018, seeks to enable and facilitate Saudi homeownership by providing a range of residential and financing options and reducing waiting lists for various segments of society throughout the Kingdom. 

According to Knight Frank, Riyadh saw the highest increase in residential transactions at 49 percent, outpacing other major cities. 

Initiatives such as the regional headquarters program are driving residential demand, as an increasing number of businesses expand and relocate their bases to the capital. 

This influx of corporate activity not only boosts the local economy but also intensifies the need for housing, attracting both domestic and international interest in the city’s real estate market. 


Oil Updates – APPEC-Traders see prices at $60-70/bbl on oversupply, China demand risks

Oil Updates – APPEC-Traders see prices at $60-70/bbl on oversupply, China demand risks
Updated 09 September 2024
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Oil Updates – APPEC-Traders see prices at $60-70/bbl on oversupply, China demand risks

Oil Updates – APPEC-Traders see prices at $60-70/bbl on oversupply, China demand risks

SINGAPORE: Global commodity traders Gunvor and Trafigura anticipate oil prices may range between $60 and $70 per barrel due to sluggish demand from China and persistent global oversupply, executives told a conference on Monday.

Oil prices have been under pressure due to concerns about waning demand in key economies China and the US — despite earlier expectations of summer demand being supportive — dipping after touching over $90 a barrel earlier this year.

Market relief came after OPEC and its allies, the group known as OPEC+, agreed last week to delay a planned oil output increase for October and November. However, commodity traders warn this relief may be short-lived.

“The market got a little bit of sugar candy for two months, but really very little,” Ben Luckock, global head of oil at Trafigura, told the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference, adding that oil prices may fall “into the $60s sometime relatively soon.”

He added: “The market wants to know ... that OPEC is not going to bring those barrels back or at best is going to bring it back much slower and on a deferred basis.”

Oil’s fair value is $70 per barrel as there is more oil currently produced globally than consumed and the balance is set only to worsen over the next few years, said Torbjorn Tornqvist, co-founder and chairman of energy trader Gunvor.

“The problem is not in OPEC, because they’ve done a great job to manage this,” Tornqvist said. “But the problem is that they don’t control where the growth is right now outside OPEC, and that’s substantial.”

Oil futures jumped by a dollar in early Monday trade as a potential hurricane system approached the US Gulf Coast. Later, West Texas Intermediate crude futures traded around 70 cents higher at $68.38 a barrel and Brent crude futures at $71.75 a barrel, by 9:28 a.m. Saudi time.

Oversupply, soft China demand 

The International Energy Agency expects oil supply growth this year to reach 770,000 barrels per day, boosting total supply to a record 103 million bpd.

That growth is set to more than double next year to reach 1.8 million bpd, with the US, Canada, Guyana and Brazil leading gains.

“Growth is slowing in the US but not coming to a halt and still significant, which presents another challenge for OPEC+ decision-making,” Jim Burkhard, vice president of research at S&P Global Commodity Insights, told the APPEC conference.

Burkhard sees OPEC+ increasing oil supply next year for the first time since 2022 and even if the group decides not to do so, spare oil production capacity globally, including over 5 million bpd in the Middle East, is set to pressure prices.

“The cycle of oil supply surplus continues. It will come to an end, but that will be in 2026 or beyond,” he said.

Soft demand in China, the world’s second-biggest economy, is also worrying markets, Trafigura’s Luckock said, adding that some market players believe Beijing may have more economic stimulus in reserve depending on the outcome of the US presidential elections in November.

“There are plenty of examples of what the Chinese central government is doing to help the economy at the moment, but none of it is this big bang headline that sometimes the market wants,” Luckock said. 


Saudi Arabia’s expanding role in global fixed income and derivatives markets highlighted at DMDF 2024

Saudi Arabia’s expanding role in global fixed income and derivatives markets highlighted at DMDF 2024
Updated 08 September 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s expanding role in global fixed income and derivatives markets highlighted at DMDF 2024

Saudi Arabia’s expanding role in global fixed income and derivatives markets highlighted at DMDF 2024
  • Experts at Debt Markets and Derivatives Forum 2024 in Riyadh discussed the Kingdom’s increasing engagement with fixed income, debt, and derivatives
  • Saudi markets are focused on traditional debt instruments and capitalizing on the rising global demand for sustainable finance

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is emerging as a global leader in fixed-income and debt markets, as the Kingdom’s economic transformation accelerates under Vision 2030. 

The shift comes due to the rise in ambitious construction projects and infrastructure development, and the need to diversify financial portfolios and manage risks more effectively. 

The expansion into these divisions highlights Saudi Arabia’s growing influence in global finance, positioning it to play a significant role in capital markets traditionally dominated by more developed economies.

At the Debt Markets and Derivatives Forum 2024 in Riyadh, experts discussed the Kingdom’s increasing engagement with fixed income, debt, and derivatives, underscoring their importance in driving the country’s financial growth. 

Financing Vision 2030: The role of debt markets

Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030 plan has brought massive investments in infrastructure and development, primarily financed by debt. 

As the world’s largest construction market, the Kingdom now surpasses China in concrete consumption per capita, a sign of the rapid pace of development. 

Speaking during a panel at the event, Rob Langrick, the chief product advocate at the US-based Chartered Financial Analyst Institute, said that debt financing is critical in this context, adding: “Construction tends to be financed with debt, and Saudi Arabia is leading the world in both concrete usage and fixed income issuance.”

Saudi Arabia’s rise as a major player in the bond market is also a direct result of Vision 2030 and, since its inception in 2016, the country has seen a surge in bond issuances, especially in dollar-denominated fixed income. Today, it has surpassed China as the leading emerging market issuer of fixed-income securities, a testament to its evolving financial landscape.

A long road ahead for debt issuance and the potential of green bonds

Despite the significant increase in bond issuance, Saudi Arabia retains considerable potential to increase its debt further. The Kingdom’s debt-to-gross domestic product ratio stands at around 30 percent, relatively low compared to other emerging markets. 

Langrick said this provides a “long runway” for further debt issuance to finance future projects, particularly those tied to Vision 2030’s transformative goals. 

This runway presents opportunities for domestic growth and positions Saudi Arabia as a hub for global fixed-income investors.

The country’s financial markets are focused on traditional debt instruments and capitalizing on the rising global demand for sustainable finance. Green bonds, in particular, are seen as a future growth area, especially with the Kingdom’s vast potential in renewable energy. 

The nation is well-positioned to develop large-scale solar and wind projects due to their vast supply, and Langrick said that issuing green bonds could help finance these undertakings, adding a new dimension to the Kingdom’s bond market and aligning with the broader Saudi Green Initiative launched in 2021.

Building the derivatives market: A path to deeper financial integration

While fixed income is an established area of growth, the derivatives market in Saudi Arabia is still in its early stages, having launched in 2020. Over the past four years, the necessary building blocks have been put in place for the sector to grow. 

According to the head of custody and securities services at Saudi National Bank, Jalal Faruki, capital and stock lending has been one of the primary drivers of this growth, specifically over the past 18 months. 

Faruki said: “Stock lending is a natural activity that drives derivatives markets, and we’ve seen it picking up recently, creating opportunities for further market development.”

The SNB head also emphasized the importance of educating retail investors, who still dominate the Kingdom’s market, on the intricacies of derivatives. The challenge lies in helping these backers understand the potential of these financial instruments to hedge risks and enhance returns, specifically as the market matures.

Fixed income and derivatives: Critical for sovereign wealth funds

As Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund continues its trajectory to becoming the world’s largest sovereign wealth backing by 2030, learning to manage fixed income and derivatives becomes even more crucial.

Fixed income markets provide a stable, uncorrelated asset class that can generate consistent returns, which is vital for long-term financial sustainability, according to Langrick.

Derivatives, on the other hand, offer sophisticated tools for hedging risks, including currency mismatches that could arise as Saudi Arabia increasingly imports goods for its infrastructure projects.

Langrick stressed the importance of mastering these markets, saying: “Fixed income is always a feature of sovereign wealth funds.”

By developing expertise in these areas, the Kingdom’s financial institutions can better navigate the complexities of international markets, ensuring sustainable growth and economic stability.