Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry projected to surpass $100bn in 3 to 5 years

Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry projected to surpass $100bn in 3 to 5 years
Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry was valued at over $80 billion as of the first quarter of 2025. Shutterstock
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Updated 12 June 2025
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Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry projected to surpass $100bn in 3 to 5 years

Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry projected to surpass $100bn in 3 to 5 years

RIYADH: Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry is likely to surpass $100 billion within the next three to five years, according to global credit rating agency Fitch Ratings.

This growth will be fueled by the need for diversification and funding, partly addressed through sukuk, as well as a favorable regulatory environment and ongoing mergers and acquisitions, according to a statement.

This aligns with Bahrain’s banking sector assets to GDP ratio, which was estimated at 516 percent in 2024, indicating a highly concentrated and competitive market that presents significant challenges for both Islamic and conventional banks. 

The debt capital market is primarily made up of government-issued sukuk and bonds, with limited participation from corporations and financial institutions.

This is also reflected in the fact that as of the first three months of 2025, Bahrain’s Islamic finance industry was valued at over $80 billion, with Islamic banking assets making up 78 percent, sukuk accounting for 19.2 percent, and the remaining 2.8 percent coming from Shariah-compliant investment funds and takaful firms.

The newly issued Fitch statement said: “Sukuk are substantial to Bahrain’s DCM (debt capital markets), comprising 32.5 percent of DCM outstanding (all currencies) as of end-1Q25 … In 2024, sukuk issuances grew by 36.2 percent yoy (year-over-year), with sovereign issuers representing about 90 percent of Bahrain’s sukuk issuances.”

It added: “Bahrain has notable access to the global DCM, with US dollar-denominated DCM comprising about 70 percent of the total, and dollar-denominated sukuk comprising nearly 90 percent of sukuk outstanding. The anticipated lower oil prices … upcoming government debt maturities and sizeable investors, including Bahraini and other GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) Islamic banks, could encourage sukuk issuance.”

The statement further indicated that the agency rates 80 percent of the country’s US dollar sukuk outstanding as of the end of the first quarter of 2025, with 94.6 percent in the “B” rating category and 5.4 percent in the “BB” rating category.

It further disclosed that most sukuk issuers carry negative outlooks, reflecting Fitch’s downgrade of Bahrain’s outlook from stable to negative in February. The country has maintained its payment record on sukuk and bonds, with only one issuer launching ESG sukuk and no ESG bonds issued from the country.

“Bahrain continues to host Islamic finance industry setting bodies like the AAOIFI (Accounting and Auditing Organization for Islamic Financial Institutions) and IIFM (International Islamic Financial Market). The draft AAOIFI Shariah Standard 62 has had no impact on Bahraini Islamic banks’ or sukuk ratings so far. However, there is a lack of clarity around the standard’s final scope and implementation,” the statement said.

It added that in the first quarter of 2025, Bahraini Islamic banks’ domestic assets saw an annual rise of 7.5 percent, outpacing conventional banks’ 3.4 percent. 

They also increased their share of domestic banking assets to 41.4 percent in what was a 1 percentage point rise from the same quarter of 2024.

Fitch said this was partly due to Ahli United Bank’s conversion to an Islamic bank. 

Islamic banks’ foreign assets decreased by 7.6 percent, while conventional banks’ increased by 6 percent, reducing the former’s share of total industry assets to 25.4 percent from 26.1 percent in the first quarter of 2024.

The Central Bank of Bahrain has introduced a draft netting law that includes Islamic derivatives, sukuk, digital asset derivatives, and carbon credit derivatives under qualified financial contracts — aimed at strengthening market participants’ confidence.

In June 2024, the CBB also launched a Shariah-compliant commodity Murabaha facility to help Islamic banks better manage surplus liquidity.

Bahrain’s Islamic finance projections come as other countries in the region also report relatively strong performance in the sector.

Earlier this month, a report from Qatar-based Bait Al Mashura Finance Consultations showed that Qatar’s Islamic finance sector continued its upward trajectory in 2024, with total assets rising 4.1 percent year on year to 683 billion Qatari riyals ($187.5 billion). 

The analysis showed at the time that Islamic banks held the largest share, with 87.4 percent of total Islamic finance assets.

In April, S&P Global Ratings said in its outlook report that Saudi Arabia is poised to play a key role in propelling the growth of the global Islamic finance industry in 2025, underpinned by non-oil economic expansion and robust sukuk issuance, according to a new analysis.   

The Kingdom’s banking system growth, supported by Vision 2030 initiatives, is expected to contribute significantly to the expansion of Islamic banking assets next year, the S&P report said at the time.


Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment

Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment
Updated 12 sec ago
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Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment

Oil Updates — prices up as demand expectations, economic data lift sentiment

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Thursday, reversing declines in the previous three sessions, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data from the world’s top oil consumers and signs of easing trade tensions.

Brent crude futures rose 8 cents, or 0.1 percent, to $68.60 a barrel at 8:30 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $66.54. Both benchmarks fell more than 0.2 percent in the previous session.

US President Donald Trump has said letters notifying smaller countries of their US tariff rates would go out soon, and said on Wednesday that he would probably put a blanket 10 percent or 15 percent tariff on smaller countries.

New agreements with Indonesia and Vietnam were announced this week.

Trump also offered renewed optimism about prospects of a deal with Beijing on illicit drugs and hinted that a trade deal with India was very close, while an agreement could possibly be reached with Europe as well.

“Trump softened tones on China and proposed lower tariff rates on smaller countries, which are seen as positive developments in the global trade outlooks,” said independent analyst Tina Teng.

“China’s better-than-expected economic data and the US’s larger-than-expected oil inventory draw have both been bullish factors for oil prices.”

US crude inventories fell by 3.9 million barrels to 422.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, a steeper decline than forecast for a 552,000-barrel draw, suggesting stronger refinery activity, tighter supply, and increased demand.

However, larger-than-expected builds in gasoline and diesel inventories capped price gains. This raised concerns of weakening demand from summer travel, ANZ analysts said in a note on Thursday.

The latest snapshot of the US economy by the central bank, released on Wednesday, showed activity picked up in recent weeks. However, the outlook was “neutral to slightly pessimistic” as businesses reported that higher import tariffs were putting upward pressure on prices.

Meanwhile, China data showed growth slowed in the second quarter, but not by as much as previously feared, in part because of front-loading to beat US tariffs, easing fears over the state of the world’s largest crude importer’s economy.

Data also showed that China’s June crude oil throughput was up 8.5 percent from a year ago, implying stronger fuel demand.

“Support has come from the positive news pertaining to some easing of trade tensions between China and the US with President Trump lifting the ban on the sale of AI chips to China along with the announcement of a trade deal with Indonesia,” said John Paisie, president of Stratas Advisers. 


Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty

Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty
Updated 16 July 2025
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Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty

Most Gulf markets in red on US inflation concerns, rate uncertainty
  • Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index dropped 0.5%
  • Dubai’s benchmark index jumped 1%

DUBAI: Most Gulf markets ended lower on Wednesday as investors weighed US trade policy developments and signs that tariffs may be fueling inflation, while awaiting cues on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. 

US consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in five months in June, raising concerns that tariffs were beginning to pressure inflation. 

On Tuesday, President Donald Trump said letters notifying smaller countries of their tariff rates would be sent soon. 

Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index dropped 0.5 percent, hit by a 0.4 percent fall in Al Rajhi Bank. Oil giant Saudi Aramco fell 0.7 percent. About 217.4 million shares changed hands, compared with an average of 314.3 million shares over the previous 10 sessions. 

Oil prices — a catalyst for the Gulf’s financial markets — fell by about 1 percent, as signs of stronger Chinese crude consumption were outweighed by investor caution about the wider economic impact from US tariffs. 

Dubai’s benchmark index jumped 1 percent to 5,974 dirhams, having crossed the mark for the first time in nearly 17.5 years. Financial stocks led gains with a 3.7 percent jump in Emirates NBD after concluding 3.9 billion dirhams in syndicated loans for Dubai Metro’s Blue Line Project. 

Abu Dhabi index added 0.3 percent, helped by a 2.6 percent increase in top lender First Abu Dhabi Bank. Strong bank earnings lifted sentiment across both Abu Dhabi and Dubai financials. 

Qatar’s stock index inched 0.1 percent lower. In the US, data on Tuesday showed consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in June, in line with forecasts, but the largest gain since January. 

Trump, however, reiterated his call for lower interest rates from the Fed, saying that consumer prices remain low. Monetary policy in the Gulf tends to mirror the Fed’s moves, given the region’s currency pegs to the US dollar. 

Outside the Gulf, Egypt’s blue-chip index, which is trading at a near all-time high, dropped 1 percent, weighed by a 5.3 percent slide in tobacco monopoly Eastern Company. 

Egypt’s progress on structural reforms under an $8 billion International Monetary Fund loan agreement has been mixed, the fund said, citing the public sector’s continued dominance of the economy as a problem.


IMF says Egypt makes mixed reform progress, cites state dominance of economy 

IMF says Egypt makes mixed reform progress, cites state dominance of economy 
Updated 16 July 2025
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IMF says Egypt makes mixed reform progress, cites state dominance of economy 

IMF says Egypt makes mixed reform progress, cites state dominance of economy 

CAIRO: Egypt’s progress on structural reforms under an $8 billion International Monetary Fund loan agreement has been mixed, the fund said, citing the public sector’s continued dominance of the economy as a problem.

In its long-delayed staff report for the fourth review of Egypt’s program, the IMF said there had been limited headway in reducing the role of state- and military-owned firms which enjoy preferential treatment in the form of tax exemptions, access to prime land and cheap labor.

These companies remain largely shielded from public scrutiny, with “very limited transparency about their financial condition,” the fund said.

Egypt’s reliance on a state-led growth model, centered on mega-projects and public investment, was curbing job creation and stifling the private sector in an increasingly volatile global environment, it said.

“The resulting financial and resource distortions have left Egypt with a large informal economy and few buffers against growing global financial, geopolitical and climate shocks,” the fund said.

The report was published late Tuesday, four months after the board approved the review and unlocked a $1.2 billion disbursement. Total disbursements are around $3.5 billion.

The 46-month facility was signed in March 2024 following more than a year of severe foreign currency shortages and inflation that peaked at 38 percent in September 2023.

The fund said last week it would merge the fifth and sixth program reviews into one later this year to give Egypt more time to implement critical reforms.

The fund forecast that Egypt’s external debt would rise from $162.7 billion in 2024/25 to $202 billion by 2029/30. Public debt overall “poses a high risk of sovereign stress,” it said, urging authorities to broaden the tax base, phase out untargeted subsidies and increase oversight of off-budget entities such as the state oil company EGPC and the urban development authority NUCA.

The report also cited “persistent and successive external shocks” that it said had “complicated policy execution,” including the war in Sudan which has pushed hundreds of thousands to flee to Egypt, as well as trade disruptions in the Red Sea which reduced foreign exchange inflows from the Suez Canal by $6 billion last year. 

Egypt finance minister reacts

Egypt's Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk said on Wednesday he is confident Egypt is hitting targets set by the IMF over the country's $8 billion loan programme and expects the next review to be completed by September or October.

"Both sides, are working on the expectation that this should be happening in September, October," Kouchouk said on the sidelines of an event at the London Stock Exchange.

"The IMF is after certain targets - and that's what's important."

A successful agreement on a review and subsequent sign off by the Fund's executive board triggers payment of a tranche.

Kouchouk also said he expected the government to complete three to four privatisation transactions before the end of the current financial year that started earlier this month.

The IMF has made increasing the role of the private sector in the economy a requirement of an expanded $8 billion loan, and Egypt's cabinet said earlier this year it would offer stakes in military-owned companies through its sovereign wealth fund to help comply with the Fund's requirements.

"It will be across a lot of sectors, but we have shared also a very strategic plan, a medium-term plan with the international institutions, including the IMF and others, with a very clear, visible timeline," added Kouchouk. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,038

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,038
Updated 16 July 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,038

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,038
  • MSCI Tadawul Index decreased by 0.41% to close at 1,415.42
  • Parallel market Nomu gained 0.16% to close at 27,345.08

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index dipped on Wednesday, losing 56.67 points, or 0.51 percent, to close at 11,038.74.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.01 billion ($1.06 billion), as 51 of the listed stocks advanced, while 195 retreated.

The MSCI Tadawul Index decreased by 5.89 points, or 0.41 percent, to close at 1,415.42.

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 43.62 points, or 0.16percent, to close at 27,345.08. This comes as 39 of the listed stocks advanced, while 43 retreated.

The best-performing stock was SHL Finance Co., with its share price rising by 4.77 percent to SR23.70.

Other top performers included Arabian Centers Co., whose share price rose by 4.19 percent to SR22.15, and Mutakamela Insurance Co., which saw a 3.71 percent increase to SR16.21.

The worst performer of the day was Emaar The Economic City, whose share price declined by 3.63 percent to SR13.02.

Arriyadh Development Co. and Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund also saw declines, with their shares dropping by 3.33 percent and 3.31 percent to SR31.32 and SR8.75, respectively.

On the announcements front, Asas Makin Real Estate Development and Investment Co. has signed a contract with First Avenue for Real Estate Development Co. to execute the Jadah Al-Huda residential project in Riyadh. 

According to a statement on Tadawul, the 23,199 sq. meters project will feature modern townhouse units designed to meet high-quality standards and urban integration, aligning with the growing demand in Saudi Arabia’s real estate market.

Valued at 14.5 percent of the actual construction cost, the 15-month contract is part of Asas Makin’s expansion strategy to enhance its portfolio and diversify revenue streams. 

The company expects the project to positively impact its financial results while contributing to the development of the Kingdom’s real estate sector.

The firm’s shares traded 0.8 percent higher in Wednesday’s trading session on the main market to close at SR108.

First Avenue for Real Estate Development Co.’s shares traded 3.33 percent higher in the main market to close at SR8.99.

Al Yamamah Steel Industries Co. has announced the completion of construction and the start of trial operations at its new Al Yamamah Wind Power Systems Factory in Yanbu Industrial City. 

The company confirmed in a statement that commercial operations will officially begin on Aug. 1, subject to regulatory approvals. The factory’s financial impact is expected to be reflected in Al Yamamah’s consolidated financial statements starting from the third quarter of 2025.

The company’s shares traded 3.61 percent higher on the main market to close at SR34.42.


Saudi PIF-backed Diriyah project awards $1.53bn arena contract to China Harbor

Saudi PIF-backed Diriyah project awards $1.53bn arena contract to China Harbor
Updated 16 July 2025
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Saudi PIF-backed Diriyah project awards $1.53bn arena contract to China Harbor

Saudi PIF-backed Diriyah project awards $1.53bn arena contract to China Harbor
  • District will include Diriyah Arena, three mixed-use office buildings, and parking facility
  • It is expected to contribute around SR70 billion to GDP

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s entertainment landscape is set for a major boost with the awarding of a SR5.75 billion ($1.53 billion) contract to construct a 20,000-seat arena as part of the Diriyah development. 

Diriyah Co., a subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund, has awarded the contract to a branch of China Harbor Engineering Co. for the Arena Block, a district that will include the Diriyah Arena, three mixed-use office buildings, and a parking facility, the company announced. 

Spanning approximately 74,000 sq. meters, the Diriyah Arena is designed to host concerts, sports, esports, exhibitions, and live performances to attract residents and international visitors. 

The Diriyah project, located on the northwestern outskirts of the capital, Riyadh, is one of five giga-projects backed by PIF under the Vision 2030 plan and aims to transform the Kingdom’s economic and tourism sectors. 

Upon completion, it is expected to contribute around SR70 billion to the gross domestic product, generate nearly 180,000 jobs, and accommodate approximately 100,000 residents. 

“The iconic Diriyah Arena will be a landmark entertainment complex in Diriyah that reinforces the City of Earth’s growing global role in shaping Saudi Arabia’s artistic and cultural future, in alignment with Vision 2030,” Jerry Inzerillo, group CEO of Diriyah Co., said.

The contract is the latest step in the company’s ongoing 2025 development drive, marking continued progress on the project. 

Yang Zhiyuan, CEO of the Chinese firm for the Middle East, said: “CHEC will bring to the project a wealth of global experience, technical expertise, and a proven track record in delivering the complex.” 

Designed by global firm HKS Inc., the structure blends traditional Najdi architecture with modern elements, reflecting Diriyah’s cultural heritage and global outlook. 

The broader Arena Block will also include three mixed-use office buildings designed by John McAslan + Partners, covering 114,000 sq. meters, along with over 4,000 parking spaces to support the stadium and surrounding offices.