Swaths of Syria out of regime hands despite Daraa victory

Swaths of Syria out of regime hands despite Daraa victory
Syrians play outside the family tent at a camp for internally displaced people on the outskirts of Jarablus, northern Syria. AP
Updated 15 July 2018

Swaths of Syria out of regime hands despite Daraa victory

Swaths of Syria out of regime hands despite Daraa victory
  • Following Russia’s military intervention at the end of 2015, the regime secured a series of victories with additional support from its Iranian ally
  • Loyalist forces now control more than 60 percent of Syria, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitor

BEIRUT/DAMASCUS: By ousting opposition groups from Daraa, the cradle of the Syrian uprising, Bashar Assad strengthened his grip on the country — but large swathes of territory remain beyond the regime’s control.
Syrian opposition fighters in Daraa were surrendering their heavy weapons to regime forces on Saturday, state media said, under a deal brokered by Russia.
It came a day after the regime and opposition began dismantling the dirt barriers that had divided the city for years, AFP’s correspondent said.
The agreement reached on Wednesday will see Daraa city fall back into regime control.
Negotiated by Moscow, it provides for the opposition to hand over heavy- and medium-duty weapons and to “reconcile” legally with the regime, according to state media.
Those who rejected the deal would be allowed safe passage out of the city.
The terms mirror a broader deal announced on July 6 for the entire province of Daraa, which would be implemented in three stages: The eastern countryside first, then the city, and finally the province’s west.
While the opposition groups have handed over weapons to regime forces in dozens of towns, no transfers of fighters or civilians to the opposition-held north have taken place yet.
The Daraa deals are the latest in a string of so-called “reconciliation” agreements that typically follow blistering military offensives.
After using the strategy to secure Damascus and other strategic parts of Syria since 2015, Assad turned his attention to the south.
Beginning on June 19, Syrian and Russian bombardment pounded opposition-controlled areas in Daraa and the neighboring province of Quneitra, ostensibly protected by an internationally agreed cease-fire.
The onslaught came to an end with the July 6 cease-fire.
Following Russia’s military intervention at the end of 2015, the regime secured a series of victories with additional support from its Iranian ally.
This year it secured the capital Damascus and its surroundings for the first time since 2012, before launching the offensive to take Daraa in the south of the country.
Loyalist forces now control more than 60 percent of Syria, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitor.
Syria’s main cities — Damascus, Aleppo, Homs, Hama and Daraa — known as “useful Syria,” are all in regime hands.
Regime-held territory accounts for 72 percent of the population, according to Fabrice Balanche, a political geographer specializing in Syria.
The northwestern province of Idlib, on the border with Turkey, is the main bastion of Syria’s insurgents.
In the north and northwest, Ankara-backed groups control the town of Al-Bab in Aleppo province and other areas near the Turkish border.
With their rebel allies, Turkish forces seized the town of Afrin in March, ousting Kurdish fighters who pledged an insurgency to retake it.
In the south, opposition groups remain in Quneitra province, which borders the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights.
Overall, the insurgents control no more than 9 percent of the country, according to the Observatory.
In addition to the military defeats, groups have split geographically and have also broken up into smaller factions over the years of war.
The semi-autonomous Kurdish zone, established during the war, represents the largest part of Syria outside of regime control.
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a Kurdish-Arab coalition backed by the US, controls 27.4 percent of the country, Observatory figures show.
Within this are important oil fields in northeastern Syria.
The SDF has played a fundamental role in the fight against Daesh during the war.
With the backing of the anti-jihadist coalition led by Washington, last year the SDF drove Daesh out of Raqqa, which the group had declared its de-facto capital in Syria.
After mounting a lightning offensive across Iraq and Syria in 2014, proclaiming a cross-border “caliphate,” Daesh has seen its territory drastically reduced.
The terror outfit now holds just a few pockets in eastern Syria, along the Iraqi border and close to the Euphrates, and it is also present in some central desert areas such as Homs province.
Having once controlled nearly half of Syria, Daesh has seen its territory reduced to less than 3 percent of the country, the Observatory says.
Syria’s conflict has killed more than 350,000 people and displaced millions since it started in 2011.


Egyptian president warns of coronavirus third wave

Egyptian president warns of coronavirus third wave
Updated 22 March 2021

Egyptian president warns of coronavirus third wave

Egyptian president warns of coronavirus third wave
  • Extreme caution urged during Ramadan

CAIRO: Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi has warned of an imminent coronavirus third wave and stressed that people should adhere to precautionary measures.

Egypt had “survived” the first and second waves and was “on the cusp” of a third, he said during a Mother’s Day speech, adding: “We hope that it will pass (without significant harm).”

Adhering to precautionary measures and exercising extreme caution was important, he said, especially during the holy month of Ramadan when people would want to gather. “We want the situation to end safely.”

A few days ago the Ministry of Health warned of an increase in COVID-19 cases during the coming weeks, coinciding with the month of fasting.

Egypt’s Minister of Health and Population Dr. Hala Zayed said that, through the lessons learned from the first wave and the hike in last April’s cases, there was the expectation that this April may also witness an increase in cases, as the peak occurred in the seventh week of each wave.

Presidential adviser for health affairs, Mohamed Awad Tageldin, also anticipated the coming period to see more COVID-19 infections.

Egypt was in a state of COVID-19 case fluctuations, he said, and the numbers were rising and decreasing by 10 percent daily. The third wave had started in other countries, he added. “But we hope that we will not reach this stage. A third wave may occur in Egypt if we do not adhere to the precautionary measures.”

Islam Anan, a professor of health economics and epidemiology, expected Egypt to witness a third wave by next month. The country was still at the end of its second wave and there was an increase in the number of casualties, he said.

Anan added that countries were divided into parts where COVID-19 spread along the emergence of new waves, as they appeared first in Europe, then Asia, the US, and finally the Middle East and Egypt, pointing out that the third wave had begun in Europe.

But Dr. Hossam Hosni, head of the scientific committee to combat coronavirus, said Egypt was currently in a stage of epidemic stability, having controlled the second wave.

“The occurrence of a third wave of the virus is related to factors including low societal awareness, climate changes, and the lack of necessary caution, which is the basis for surviving the rise of infections again. We are currently in the stage of epidemiological stability.”

An official at Egypt’s Health Ministry said an update was being made to the treatment protocol in order to contribute to high recovery rates among the sick, following the previous update in November.


UN experts demand ‘credible’ probe into murder of Hezbollah critic

Luqman Slim, 58, was shot six times, three times in the head, in his car on Feb. 4. He was found in an area of southern Lebanon said to be under Hezbollah’s control. (AP/File Photo)
Luqman Slim, 58, was shot six times, three times in the head, in his car on Feb. 4. He was found in an area of southern Lebanon said to be under Hezbollah’s control. (AP/File Photo)
Updated 22 March 2021

UN experts demand ‘credible’ probe into murder of Hezbollah critic

Luqman Slim, 58, was shot six times, three times in the head, in his car on Feb. 4. He was found in an area of southern Lebanon said to be under Hezbollah’s control. (AP/File Photo)
  • Concerns raised over effectiveness of Lebanese government’s investigation into Luqman Slim’s death
  • ‘A lack of accountability may have a profound chilling effect on freedom of expression in Lebanon’

LONDON: UN human rights experts have called on Lebanon’s government to “ensure a credible and effective investigation” into the assassination prominent intellectual and Hezbollah critic Luqman Slim.

“More than a month after Mr. Slim’s murder, the investigatory steps taken at national level have led to no meaningful result, raising concerns as to the effectiveness of the current investigation,” said the three special rapporteurs from the UN’s Human Rights Council.

“The government should urgently implement measures to guarantee the independence and the impartiality of the investigation, and ensure that those responsible are identified and held accountable.”

Slim was an outspoken critic of Iran-backed Hezbollah, and many have speculated that the group was behind his murder.

Slim, 58, was shot six times, three times in the head, in his car on Feb. 4. He was found in an area of southern Lebanon said to be under Hezbollah’s control.

Prior to his death, he said should he be killed, “everybody would know who would be behind it.”

The experts, who specialize in extrajudicial killings, judicial independence and free expression, said: “The killing of Mr. Slim appears to be linked to his civic engagement and to be emblematic of the regression of Lebanon civic space, in the context of a reported surge of arrests, intimidations, threats and violence against human rights defenders, journalists and activists.”

They added: “We are deeply concerned that the murder of Mr. Slim in the event of a lack of accountability may have a profound chilling effect on freedom of expression in Lebanon.”

The UN said Slim was reportedly probing how and why the huge supply of ammonium nitrate that exploded in Beirut’s port last year, killing over 200 people and injuring thousands, was in the country.

“Any alleged relation between the explosion and Mr. Slim’s assassination should be fully investigated,” the experts said.

At the time, US Ambassador to Lebanon Dorothy Shea condemned the killing, saying: “We are saddened to have lost a great person through such an unacceptable barbaric act that we will never forget.”

She emphasized “the need to know who committed this heinous crime,” and vowed to “continue supporting the institutions Slim had established.”


Lebanon stalemate continues after 18th Aoun-Hariri meeting collapses

The 18th meeting between Hariri (L) and Aoun (R), held at the Presidential Palace, was met before and after with pessimism by much of the Lebanese public. (AFP/File Photos)
The 18th meeting between Hariri (L) and Aoun (R), held at the Presidential Palace, was met before and after with pessimism by much of the Lebanese public. (AFP/File Photos)
Updated 22 March 2021

Lebanon stalemate continues after 18th Aoun-Hariri meeting collapses

The 18th meeting between Hariri (L) and Aoun (R), held at the Presidential Palace, was met before and after with pessimism by much of the Lebanese public. (AFP/File Photos)
  • Saad Hariri: President ‘had last chance to end collapse’
  • Protesters swarm Beirut streets as currency exchange rate spikes on black market

BEIRUT: A critical meeting on Monday between Lebanese President Michel Aoun and Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri on the country’s uncertain future failed to reach an agreement.

The 18th meeting between the two men, held at the Presidential Palace, was met before and after with pessimism by much of the Lebanese public.

Hariri insists on forming a government of 18 independent specialists acting as ministers, without the capacity for a blocking third by any party, while Aoun and his Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) propose a government of 20 ministers, with the right to name 6 ministers in addition to an Armenian minister.

After Monday’s meeting, which lasted just 35 minutes, Hariri said that Aoun sent him on Sunday “a complete ministerial structure in which the portfolios were distributed among the sects and parties, along with a letter telling me that it is advisable to fill it out.

“The list includes a blocking third of his political team, whether the government consists of 18, 20 or 22 ministers.

“He asked me to suggest names for the portfolios according to the sectarian and party distribution that he had prepared.”

Hariri said that he told Aoun during the meeting that “this is unacceptable because it is not the prime minister—designate’s job to fill out lists prepared by anyone, and it is not the job of the president to form a government.

“Our constitution clearly says that the prime minister-designate forms the government and puts the names, and discusses his formation with the president of the republic.

As a result of this, Hariri said: “Accordingly, I respectfully informed him that I consider his letter as if it had not been sent. I returned it to him and informed him that I would keep a copy of it for history.”

Hariri said he previously suggested a government formation to Aoun more than 100 days ago, and told him: “I am ready for any proposals and amendments to names and portfolios. Even with his insistence on the Interior Ministry, I suggested a solution for him. Unfortunately, his answer was clear: The blocking third.”

Hariri added: “I have one goal, which is to put an end to the collapse and the suffering of the Lebanese. I asked the president to listen to the pain of the Lebanese and give the country its only and last chance for a government of specialists to implement reforms and stop the collapse without disruption or narrow partisan considerations.”

Hariri denied that he had previously provided Aoun with broad lines for his government. He distributed to the media the list of “specialized ministers” that he presented to Aoun on Dec. 9, requesting that “public opinion be the judge.”

The prime minister-designate did not respond to questions by the press, and no date has been set for a new meeting between the ​two parties.

Hariri’s suggested list included well-known academics and experts, including three women.

The Future Movement media coordinator, Abd Al-Salam Moussa, told Arab News: “Hariri thwarted the administration’s coup against the republic.”

After Hariri finished a speech at the Presidential Palace after the meeting, large swathes of protesters took to the streets of Beirut to express their anger, while electronic platforms that control the black market began to raise the dollar exchange rate again.

Earlier in the day, the exchange rate stood at 11,300 Lebanese pounds, but after Hariri’s statement, it spiked to 13,000 Lebanese pounds.

The 17th meeting between Aoun and Hariri last Thursday also complicated Monday’s meeting, making it difficult to reach a solution to Lebanon’s political crisis.

Maronite Patriarch Mar Bechara Boutros Al-Rahi, on the eve of Aoun and Hariri’s meeting, appealed to the two parties to “stop onerous conditions.”

He said: “​If some want to burden the next government with the region’s conflicts and the race to the presidency, regime change and control of power, then​ that​ will lead to chaos​, which ​will not show mercy to anyone, starting with its creators.”

Caution and public anxiety preceded the Aoun-Hariri meeting and increased after it.

Despite the reopening of restaurants and cafes on Monday, with strict health measures in place — two months after total lockdown began — the public chose to stay home.


Yemenis embrace Saudi peace initiative and urge Houthis to accept

Yemenis embrace Saudi peace initiative and urge Houthis to accept
Updated 22 March 2021

Yemenis embrace Saudi peace initiative and urge Houthis to accept

Yemenis embrace Saudi peace initiative and urge Houthis to accept
  • Analyst says there is no excuse for militias to reject it as it meets all their requirements
AL-MUKALLA: The Yemeni government, local officials and displaced people on Monday welcomed the Saudi initiative to halt the war in Yemen, and called on the Houthis to accept it and end more than six years of conflict.

Yemen’s Foreign Ministry said the Saudi plan is “compatible with” the Yemeni government’s repeated calls for peace and an end to the suffering of the Yemeni people. It blamed the Iran-backed Houthis for the failure of previous peace plans.

“The Yemeni government is fully aware that ending the suffering of Yemenis will only be done by ending the coup and the war that was sparked by the Houthi militia,” the ministry said. “(The government) is committed to all peace efforts to end the coup, restore the state and reject Iran’s destructive project in Yemen.”

The war in Yemen began in late 2014 when the Houthis stormed the capital, Sanaa. They placed President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi under house arrest and overthrew his government. The conflict has claimed more than 100,000 lives, destroyed state institutions and, according to the UN, created the world’s worst humanitarian crisis.

The effects of the war and Houthi oppression forced tens of thousands of Yemenis in Houthi-controlled regions to flee their homes. They are now living in displacement camps in areas under government control.

Abu Omer and his large family fled the fighting in the northern province of Al-Jouf early last year. They are now living in a camp in the central city of Marib. He said he hopes the Saudi initiative will end the war, and urged the warring factions to cease hostilities so that his family can go home.

“This is good news and all people must accept it,” he told Arab News. “I hope to return to my home when the Houthis leave our area.”

Health officials in Yemen have also called for a halt to the fighting across the country so that they can work to contain a new wave of COVID-19 infections that has started to claim dozens of lives in the past few days.

Ishraq Al-Subaee, a spokeswoman for the Aden-based National Coronavirus Committee, called on the warring factions to accept the Saudi peace initiative to help relieve the pressure on health services in Yemen.

“We (support) the peace initiative and calls for stopping the war in Yemen,” she told Arab News. “We want to confront the second wave of coronavirus that has spread quickly in the country.”

She added that the war has devastated the Yemeni economy and health service, and is responsible for creating a malnutrition crisis.

Analysts said that the Saudi initiative leaves no room for maneuver for the Houthis, who have long refused to accept any peace deal that does not include the reopening of Sanaa airport and Hodeidah seaport, among other things. Saleh Al-Baydani, a Yemeni political analyst, told Arab News that there is no excuse for rejecting the deal because it meets all of these requirements.

“The initiative shows the international community who is the party that obstructs peace efforts in Yemen,” Al-Baydani said. “The international community should exert real pressure on this militia that has held millions of Yemenis hostage.”

The Houthis have rejected or breached previous peace agreements and initiatives, said Yasser Al-Yafae, a Yemeni political analyst in the southern city of Aden. Therefore they might try to disrupt the latest plan by launching drone and missile strikes on targets inside and outside of Yemen if the international community does not intervene, he warned.

“Without real international pressure on them, the Houthis could foil this initiative like what they did with previous peace efforts,” Al-Yafae told Arab News.

Turkey and Russia escalate standoff in Syria

Turkey and Russia escalate standoff in Syria
Updated 22 March 2021

Turkey and Russia escalate standoff in Syria

Turkey and Russia escalate standoff in Syria
  • The Syrian Kurds have been under Russian pressure for some time to cede control of Ain Issa to Damascus
  • Ain Issa has become the focal point of Turkish and Syrian National Army attacks for a few months

ANKARA: Turkey has asked for Russia’s help in shielding northwestern Syria following mounting airstrikes in the area, which is home to 4 million people. 

The attacks are hitting civilian targets like hospitals as well as fuel facilities, which are vital for the infrastructure that Turkey wants to establish.

A missile targeted the town of Qah in northern Idlib as well as a truck and trailer park near Sarmada, wounding several civilians.

Syrian artillery also killed at least seven civilians and injured medical staff in an attack on a hospital in the rebel-controlled town of Al-Atareb. On Sunday, the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that strikes carried out by Russian jets hit a fuel depot in Bab al-Hawa, near the Turkish border.

The Turkish Defense Ministry sent a statement to Russia after the Qah airstrike, asking it to stop the attacks. There was no immediate comment from the Kremlin.

Its request comes as Russia increases its pressure on Syrian Kurds to leave the strategically located town of Ain Issa while also trying to push Turkey back from gaining more space.

Analysts said that Russia’s latest moves in Idlib aimed to destabilize the region and undermine commercial activities.

But President Bashar Assad’s regime and Russia say they are only targeting militant Islamists.

“Turkey has only a few areas in Syria where it can really push the Russians, as needed,” Nicholas Heras, a senior analyst at the Newlines Institute in Washington, told Arab News.

“Although the Syrian Kurds are an irritant to Russia’s policy to reestablish the Assad regime’s control over all of Syria, the Kurds are also a useful chip for Russia in bargaining with Turkey and to try to convince the Kurds to pull away from the Americans.”

Ain Issa, which is held by Kurdish forces, has become a flashpoint between Turkey and Russia.

Russia expressed its displeasure a few days ago at Turkish movements around Ain Issa, viewing them as a violation of the Sochi agreement signed in Oct. 2019.

Kurdish forces withdrew 32 km back from the Turkish border under the deal, and Ain Issa is 37 km away from the frontier.

The Turks and Russians are conducting joint patrols in the area, and Russia already has a coordination center in Ain Issa.

Turkey is attacking the mainly Kurdish militia the People’s Protection Units (YPG) in northwestern Syria and backs the Syrian National Army against them. It sees the YPG as a Syrian offshoot of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, which is outlawed in Turkey and is listed as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the US and EU.

Heras said that Russia’s guardianship of YPG-controlled areas in Aleppo was useful for Russia and that the Turks, who would like to take over those areas, were well aware of this.

“Turkish movements in these areas are messaging to the Russians that the Turks have the means to weaken Russia's hand in the game for control over northern Syria.”

The Syrian Kurds have been under Russian pressure for some time to cede control of Ain Issa to Damascus.

Russia is trying to avoid a military operation by Turkey in the region in order to restrict its influence, so is pressuring the YPG to withdraw or decrease its military presence.

Ain Issa has become the focal point of Turkish and Syrian National Army attacks for a few months.

Aydin Sezer, an expert on Turkey-Russia relations, expected a growing standoff by Russia that would remind Turkey about its unmet commitments on different fronts.

In January, Russia’s sovereign wealth fund signed a deal with Turkey on the co-production of its Sputnik V vaccine.

But there has been no progress so far, nor any statement from the Turkish side on how this cooperation will evolve.

Sezer also said that Russia had expressed its discomfort about Turkey’s supportive messages to Crimea and its non-fulfillment of commitments for joint energy projects.

“Russian moves in Syria and its unconditional support to Damascus should be seen from a wider perspective,” he told Arab News. “Apart from the vaccine issue, Russia is also uneasy with Turkey’s inaction in Idlib to eliminate all terrorist groups in the region in line with the Astana, Sochi and Moscow deals on Idlib.”

Russia was no longer convinced by Turkey’s longtime narrative about hitting Syrian Kurds in the region as it had the upper hand in military, diplomatic and political terms, he added.

“Therefore, the Kremlin did not even release any statement after Turkey’s Sunday announcement for helping to stop the attacks in Syria. Tensions run high and it is a consciously escalated standoff that might undermine the Turkey-Russia partnership in the region in the near term.”