Can AI surpass human emotional intelligence?

Can AI surpass human emotional intelligence?

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The world is on the verge of a technological shift that will reshape how we live. Artificial intelligence is no longer a science fiction idea. In many tasks, it already matches human capability. In some, it surpasses it.

But emotions are a different frontier. Intuition, empathy, creativity and social nuance are core to what makes us human. Can AI reach meaningful emotional intelligence by 2030? 

This is no longer a distant question. It is a live development challenge, and Saudi Arabia is positioning itself at the center of it. Vision 2030 has placed technology and AI at the heart of the Kingdom’s transformation. The goal is not only economic diversification. It is also the building of a vibrant society, a thriving economy and an ambitious nation. Saudi Arabia is not watching the global AI race from the sidelines. It is investing heavily to shape outcomes.

One example is Humain, a full-stack AI ecosystem backed by the Public Investment Fund. Its stated ambition is to help Saudi Arabia become the world’s third-largest AI market after the US and China. Whether that ranking is reached or not, the direction is clear. The Kingdom intends to build, deploy and govern AI at scale.

Today’s AI excels in logic-heavy tasks. It drafts emails, summarizes documents and supports routine work. But emotional intelligence demands more than language fluency. It requires sensitivity to tone, intent and context. It requires understanding what is implied, not only what is said.

For Saudi Arabia and the Arab world, this matters more than in many other societies. Emotional connection is not optional here. It is central to how relationships function. Hospitality is not merely etiquette, but a social obligation. A greeting, offering a cup of coffee and dates to a guest signal respect and character.

Small gestures carry weight. How coffee is poured, how often a cup is refilled and how family is asked about can define the tone of an interaction. Emotional expressiveness is not unusual. It is expected.

That reality creates a higher bar for AI tools intended for everyday life in the Kingdom. A system that processes words only at face value will struggle in a culture where meaning often sits between the lines. A polite refusal must be delivered with warmth to avoid offense. A business meeting may begin with extended conversation about family and health. That is not inefficiency. It is relationship-building.

AI that cannot navigate these norms will be culturally tone-deaf. It will feel cold in settings where warmth is part of competence.

Saudi Arabia’s approach, however, is increasingly shaped by localization. The Kingdom has backed Arabic language AI models designed to understand not only Modern Standard Arabic but regional dialects. That matters because dialect carries social cues, identity and emotion. A phrase delivered in Najdi may land differently when expressed in Hijazi. Tone can shift meaning entirely.

Arabic also presents technical challenges, including morphology and dialectal variety. If AI is to read emotional context accurately, it must first read language the way people actually speak it. That is a prerequisite for empathy-like performance.

The stakes extend beyond national ambition. The wider Middle East has been projected to gain significant economic value from AI by 2030. Saudi Arabia has the resources and political will to lead. It also aims to become a provider of AI services to emerging markets in Asia and Africa. If it can build AI that respects Arab culture and norms, it could export models that feel culturally compatible in many societies.

The most immediate question, however, is what this means for daily life. Consider mental health, a topic still handled delicately in much of the region. An AI companion that offers confidential support in Arabic, with culturally competent language, could lower barriers to seeking help. If such systems can respond with sensitivity, they could complement human services and widen access.

Emotionally aware AI could also reshape public services. In government centers, tools that recognize frustration and respond with patience could improve the citizen experience. In healthcare, AI that detects anxiety or pain from context and tone could support clinicians and improve communication. In education, AI tutors that adapt to a student’s emotional state, not only performance, could strengthen learning outcomes.

There are economic implications, too. Vision 2030 includes raising the private sector’s contribution to gross domestic product. AI is expected to be part of that push. In tourism, emotionally intelligent systems could help deliver a version of Saudi hospitality that feels personal, not transactional. In retail, AI that understands trust-based relationships could align better with how business is often done in the Kingdom.

The challenges are real. Human emotion is complex, inconsistent and deeply contextual. Building systems that respond appropriately, without manipulation, bias or misuse, raises serious ethical questions. Regulation, transparency and accountability will matter as much as capability.

Saudi Arabia is better placed than many countries to pursue this responsibly, if it pairs investment with strong governance. Localization is not just a language choice. It is an attempt to build AI that fits society rather than forcing society to fit AI.

The journey to emotionally intelligent AI will not be simple. But the direction of travel is clear. By the end of this decade, digital assistants may understand not only what we say, but what we mean, in our own language and cultural context. For Saudi Arabia, that would not only be a technological milestone. It would be a Vision 2030 outcome with direct social impact.

• Yousef Khalili is the Global Chief Transformation Officer and CEO MEA at Quant.

Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not necessarily reflect Arab News' point of view