More mistakes are made in political risk analysis due to the curse of wishful thinking than any other intellectual malady that afflicts the human mind.
May 05, 2023
I have found through my constant exposure to them through the years that the EU’s intellectual cheerleaders among geopolitical analysts — funded as they so often are by the very institution they are supposed to be impartially analyzing — are as numerous as they are clueless.
October 01, 2022
Climate analyst Bjorn Lomborg put it perfectly when he said: “Wishful thinking is not sound public policy.”The vast majority of political risk mistakes are made for this one simple reason; most analysts confuse what they would like to happen with what is likely to happen.
September 02, 2022
One of the things I have learned from my decades in the political risk business is that experts usually ignore the fact that specific people truly make policy.
August 26, 2022