The Middle East and North Africa region has long thwarted efforts to predict its future. However, while there will always be unpredictable events, identifying the trends and other factors most likely to shape the region’s outlook is a helpful place to start.

Last week, an oil spill from a refinery in the northwest Syrian town of Baniyas drifted toward Cyprus, forcing authorities on the island to take emergency measures.

Many Americans have watched with horror as thousands of Afghans desperately try to flee their country following the Taliban takeover. Compassion and a sense of responsibility have driven many to look for ways to assist those Afghans who make it to the US.

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic is far from over, but it is clear that it will have a long-term impact on the world. Past pandemics offer clues to how the outbreak might affect the future.